So end of 2009?

[Final-Fan]

Avinash_Tyagi said:

Final-Fan said:

Avinash_Tyagi said:

Final-Fan said:
It was one thing for Avinash to have insanely optimistic Wii predictions -- when we really had no idea how high demand truly was. But these insanely PESSIMISTIC 360 predictions only make Avinash look very, very foolish.

I'm not being pessimistic, i'm being realistic, this is 360's fourth year, and there will be likely be a slowdown in its sales, so 35 million as the top of the range is not unrealistic at all

10 million in 2008 being followed by 3 million in 2009 isn't "slowdown", it's DEATH.  You're predicting that the 360 will just DIE in 2009. 

Check out the way Gamecube sales went.  The 360 will more probably sell like it did in 2007, or at worst 2006.  What DID it sell in 2006/7 anyway?  I don't know but I know it was more than 3 million.

Umm, 360 has sold 26.7 million so far, so 35 million would be about 8 million next year, so between 3-8 million in 2009, is not unrealistic, yes, 3 million is worst case scenario, which is why it is at the bottom of the range

Still, 3 million for the 360 is just about as unlikely as Kzoellner's 14 million prediction for the Wii -- which you rightly derided.