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I think it'll sell at least 275,000. I also think it won't start seeing massive sales increases until about a week before Halo 3 comes out. From then on I think it's likely sell ~2 million total in North America from late September - end of December. Europe about 600,000 consoles until the end of the year and 40,000-50,000 in Japan. So I think total installed base will stand at ~13.5 million at the end of this year.