What the top 10 will look like end of 2009

[Oyvoyvoyv]

Okay, New SMB will overtake the current 10th place. It is also likely to overtake the current 8th place (SMW @ 20.61M), as that requires ~ 2.5M more, and NSMB will have sold over 5M for this year.

So NSMB will push SMW down to 10th place.

 

Wii Play will increase, probably selling 10-12M.

 

Gets a bit tough, I should make a list.

1. Wii Sports (xxx)

2. SMB (40.xxM)

3. Pokemon Red/Blue (31.xxM)

4. Tetris (30.3M)

5. Wii Play ~ 29M

6. Duck Hunt (28.3M)

7. Nintendogs ~ 24M

8.  Pokemon Gold/Silver (23.11M)

9. New Super Mario Bros. ~ 21.5M

 

Then there's 10th place. SMW at 20.61M

Pokemon D/P has a slight chance, it sold 4.2M this year, and will need the same this year. Unlikely that it will make it. It will beat SMW eventually though. I guess 20M for this one.

Wii Fit will make it. It will need 6M next year, and Wii Fit will make that before the holiday season (needs 150K/week, which should be relatively easy for it). As a matter of fact, Wii Fit will NSMB down, and could sell 10M next year, beating Nintendogs. I'm not putting it there though, as it could range from 21-25M. Anyway, 10th place is Wii Fit.

Oops, missed Brain Training here. Should end at ~ 21M as well.

 

So it is:

Between 7th and 10th = Wii Fit

11th. Brain Training

12th = SMW

13th = Pokemon Diamond/Pearl

Between 11th and 14. Mario Kart Wii (it needs just 5M to make 13th, and ~ 7M to make 11th. Could of course make 10th by beating NSMB at ~ 21.5M)

15. MKDS - will be at 14M ETY 08, with ~ 4.75M for the year. Could make 4.2M next year, beating Super Mario Land at 18.14M

15. (tied with MKDS) Super Mario Land (18.14M)

17. Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas (17.56M)

 

So the top 16 will be Nintendo.

And what is more, 4 willl be Wii and 4 will be DS. Kaboom! Half of the top 16 (and possibly over half the top 15) will be Wii/DS!

 

And getting the top 15 is definite, MKDS could not beat GTA:SA though, if something odd happens.