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Without a doubt. It will be about 1.5M. FFX released on the PS2 in Japan with a userbase of 5M. It sold 1.9M first week. An attach rate of 38%. Assuming FFXIII has the same attach rate and the PS3 userbase is 3.5M, then FFXIII will do 1.33M first week. So I would say 1.33M is an absolute minimum.