Here is my wii theory..
Lets say the GC has a 40million install base.
Those 35million-40million want a wii(I didnt ps3 was my first ps console)
Now, as people get the wii there friends seem to enjoy it. Then they want a wii, sooner or later everyone has or wants one. Meaning the install base "may be double of what GC sold", but there's a twist in this theory. If it is truly true that only GC owners want a wii, along with "some" casuals, this would result bad for nintendo in the long run(the price = fast sales).
Sony can actaully do something to stop or halt wii sales, and thats making the ps3 cheaper. The ps3 has some serious potnetial in sales, people want it and by people I dont mean 1 million or so. Im pretty sure that if the ps3 drops price not only will x360 owners buy it(thats if they arent fanboys), but even some wii owners(hardcore gamers) will go pswii. So its something to monitor especially in september.
Right now the ps3 is outselling 360 in World wide sales weekly. It is selling pretty good.
Now the holiday sales will clearly show how well the ps3 can sell(this I mean this holiday season), maybe as well as it did at luanch with some 400k sold in one week.
