Can Wii Fit be the best selling non bundled single-platform game in 2009?

[Oyvoyvoyv]

It is now pretty definate that Wii Fit will be the best selling game in 2008 (for list of top 20 WW sellers for the year so far, go here: http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=52237, and post too :P)

So the question is; can it do the same in 2009?

It is a title that is going to sell through the entire year, and it has the advantage compared to 2008 that it is going to sell for 50% longer time (so for the year, it would sell equally much as in 08 if it sold 1/3 less than this year).

 

As it looks, only 2 games are going to pass 10M in 2008 - Wii Fit and Mario Kart Wii. For 2009, the only new title I see with a change of 10M (in the release year), is Wii Sports Resort - and I find that a bit doubtful to be honest.

Now, for Wii Fit to make 10M next year, it would need 150K weekly for the first 9 months, and then 300K weekly for the last 3 months. Well, slightly above that.

 

Both of those seem very makeable. It has now been over 200K weekly for over 20 weeks in a row (before that it had very low supply, and couldn't make that much), and has over 275K weekly as an average.

 

So I'd say it has a decent change of selling the most in 2009 too, and that it should definately end in the top 3.

 

What do you think?