Blappo on 02 December 2008
@Oyvoyvoyv - The average accuracy is 86.66% which does not take into account the size of the bets, but I'm not sure where 40% came from. A weighted average of the bet * accuracy is 36%. Using 36% in your calculations would give:
[10*(100*1)+2*(2000*0.2)]/5000 = 0.36
2000 bet with 20% accuracy = 2000 * [1 - (0.36 - 0.2)] = 1680
100 bet with 100% accuracy = 100 * [1 - (0.36 - 1)] = 164
2*1680 + 10*1640 = 5000
Using this method would not create money which makes sense. However, from the Nov 11 standings it shows that collectively $496 were won (generating money). Also this method doesn't remotely follow the rules.
