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whatever said:

If a game is on the Wii, the console leader, that kills any HW advantage the 360 or PS3 would have for that title. 

See a post above at my answer about the meaning of "exclusivity". It is not about who is "winning" but about who is not getting titles. If all but one platfrom are getting a title then that platform is disadvantaged in the market, even though the title is multi-plat, the fact that it is not on the platfrom makes the platform weaker. 



Prediction made on 11/1/2008:

Q4 2008: 27M xbox LTD, 20M PS3 LTD . 2009 sales: 11M xbox,  9M PS3