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Steve 3.2 said:

HappySqurriel said:


2. Only 2.5 Million Madden fans have bought a current generation console (1.5 Million XBox 360, 0.5 Million PS3, and 0.5 Million Wii) which leaves 5.5+ Million to choose a current generation console

 

As long as EA continues to make PS2, Xbox, and GC versions of Madden (probably the last year for the Xbox and GC), current owners do not need to upgrade to a new system. While there will certainly be some owners who do upgrade, I believe the majority of owners will either stick with their current copy (i.e. Madden 07 or earlier) or will buy the new version for their current system. And if EA makes Madden 09 for PS2 (which they undoubtedly will since it prob. won't be hard to port it from the PSP and/or Wii), that gives users even another year to put off their upgrade.

I don't disagree that it will take years for everyone to upgrade, but I do think that Madden will factor into people's system purchasing this year ...

Suppose for a moment that 1 Million people are going to buy into a HD-console this year (in part) for Madden; we'll leave the Wii version out simply because it is not (necessarily) going to be in direct competition in this example. With the XBox 360 being less expensive and fairly popular in North America it should have already received the majority share of these Madden fans, but with it (also) having the superior version it should solidify the dominance.

For argument sake, let's say that 3/4 of the Madden fans choose the XBox 360 ... This means that there will be 2.25 Million fans that have choosen the XBox 360 as compared to 0.75 Million fans who choose the PS3; to what extent will having 1/3 as many Madden fans impact the need for the PS3 version to be properly optimized next year? Wouldn't their money be best spent optimizing the XBox 360 version?