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Disagree.

When Microsoft and Nintendo launch brand new consoles with brand new abilities, Sony will, too. The PS1 lasted ten years, yet the PS2 launched 5 years after the PS1. The PS2 will last ten years, yet the PS3 has launched 6 years after the PS2 launched. Same with the PS4. The PS3 could last ten years, but the PS4 will launch before then, mostly likely 5 to 6 years after the PS3 launched. And, at the Wii's pace, it is practically a deadlock that Nintendo will win this gen, with Microsoft and Sony scrambling for a distant second.