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Lord N said:

It isn't going to happen.

In order to reach 100 million by that point in time, the Wii would have to reach 80 million by the end of 2009. Even if the Wii sold 1 million units per week for the rest of the year, it would be at 43 million, which means that it would need to sell 37 million in one year. Even if the remaining total of 57 million were split up between two years, it would have to sell 28.5 million/year, which is even more than the DS at its best.



Nintendo IS shipping 28 million Wii's per year right now. It will reach 80 million by end March 2010 after which it will definitely reach 100 million end 2010. There will be around 10 million Wii's sold Nov/Dec so Wii will most definitely be around 45 million end 2008.

Edit: The only way Wii won't make 100 million end 2010 is if demand suddenly drops, which isn't very likely seeing the close to sold out status of the last two years. Damnd hasn't even been met yet, let alone we see it drop. And, again, Wii isn't at the famous "under $200" yet.