TheSource on 17 August 2007
I don't look at the official National Hurricane Center forecast too much since it is a consensus to give a range.
I look at the model projections. The model that 'yesterday' predicted the situation closest to 'today' is the one I go with - because that means to me that model has the best handle on the forces guiding the storm. So you follow that model until the environment changes or until it is proven wrong, with slight nods to the consensus of other models.
The model that was most accurate predicting today - yesterday, and yesterday - two days ago says:
Houston, Texas - Watch it - Dean is coming. Fast.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
