both consoles will cut price next year, the ps3 should around march, and the 360 around october for its yearly cut (though this may just be elimination of the arcade sku, and larger hds for the pro and elite).
I do not for see any major changes next year. the ps3 should lead sales from its price drop until the 360 price drop. stopming the 360 into the ground when gt5 comes out, that games boost and tail will be very important. the 360 will beat the ps3 after its cut, and depending on hype for halo 3 recon, make a much longer and more impressive run (recon and the price cut should be close)
I expect after the price cut for the ps3 next year, and at minimum after gt5 for the ps3 to lead in others. I do not expect any radical changes in japan (a bump in favor of each when big games come out), which will be a close race until ff13 is out, when ps3 will curb stomp the 360 for a few months.
america is key for the ps3 to become number 2, and if it does not make major gains next year it will be very very hard for it to be number 2. I think the key may be Madden sales next year, that will tell very well which way all the consoles are heading. GT should help the ps3 in the states, killzone will be good, but because of prior games in the series, and similar games sales on the ps3 i do not think its a gears/halo style seller. its release date however should help its sales, with upwards of 1 million being out in one week if its out in all three territories
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