PS3 vs GC (Japan+Americas)

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ilovetogame said:
so the ps3 is tracking similar to gc in all but others. due to others you could just based off the charts say that it would sell n64 numbers. But due to the fact that it has a super high price point that means it'll continue to sell for longer when that ps3 price comes down.

Also the good 3rd party support due to ps2 domination, despite the low numbers for ps3, adds in another longevity factor.

And finally that this gen will most likely last a year or two longer than previous gens because the wii is dominating and has no reason to rush to the next gen, and ps360 are so expensive that next gen will have to wait longer to be released not only so that the technology/graphics is significantly better than ps360 so as to make a real difference but they need to release not super overpriced systems next time, which means there is no reason to start next gen till their current gen systems get down to probably $180 or less, then they could reasonably release a ~350 dollar new system.

so considering all that ps3 should attain SNES like numbers, maybe slightly more depending on how tough the battle with 360 is. but i see the total hd sales for this gen reaching about 100 million, with at most a 45/55 split either way between 360 and ps3.

 

I'm expecting PS3 selling less than 40M in its lifetime. Well, i'm not here arguing about peoples expectations.

Anyway, the support that PS3 gets bacause of PS2 is something you shouldn't count on. Publishers go where the money's at, which is Wii, if not yet, will soon be. So it should be the Wii, that will get the PS2:s good support (of course, i'm not expecting Wii grabbing the support in a similar fashion that PS2 did).

 

@Kulle: Very possible. Which forum are you talking about?