I think the original poster has a valid question, and there is little doubt that those with an abnormal loyalty to one console. Would look to such an event as a major indicator for argument purposes. Were the Wii actually able to generate more sales in one market then the competitor can do in the world wide market. Well that would be a very bad sign for the PS3 console. There is also very little chance that it would not become a major statistic in the console wars.
So the original poster asks for no flame wars. The war would happen if this were said or not. However since the original poster said it if you do choose to flame around in this thread. Well that just shows to everyone what kind of person you really are.
Were we just calculating in Japan and America the answer would be obvious that the Wii would pass the PS3 in around four weeks time, or the beginning of September. However the numbers from Europe and other regions actually bring the numbers closer with a margin of just a few thousand units. Even so the PS3 is losing ground in America and in Japan even though it is rather slow.
We need to know three factors to make a prediction in this case. How many units can Nintendo push to the market in America every week from this point. How much will PS3 sales slide. How will the 360 price cut effect the situation. Speculation on my part makes me feel that the price drop will cause sales to go away from the PS3.
I would venture a guess of seven weeks. With the Halo 3 hype driving down PS3 sales. So I would say the third week of September. Far too early for a holiday rush to prevent the trend from winning. However a couple months later the PS3 will likely bolster enough sales to close that statistic down for a couple years.
That allows for a margin of just over twelve thousand units per week. That is easily reached with increased production of the Wii, sagging sales of the PS3, and stronger competition from Microsoft. So it is plausible.







