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And to those that think the Wii will just stop selling.

It was at 6 million shipped March 2007.
It'll be at 22 million shipped March 2008 (16 million for the year).
It's quite feasible that it'll be at 40 million shipped March 2009 (18 million for the year).

That's a pretty successful console already. But OK, let's imagine it suddenly becomes generally perceived as an outdated piece of technology, superseded my more powerful, though more expensive, competitors. You know what other successful console fits that profile? The PS2. So just how much has the PS2 sold since the 360 and the PS3 came out? 14 million shipped last year; 11 million predicted this year. That means 10 million a year for the Wii is still quite feasible from then on, for as long as Nintendo supports it, even if it's seen as no more than a cheap, outdated device.

So if you're seriously thinking less than 60 million Wiis for the generation, you're in for a big surprise.


Reality has a Nintendo bias.