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TheSource said:

Madden week historically has always been a bad week for Nintendo, even though things are changing a bit with Wii...but there is a fair amount of evidence historically showing that Genesis, PS1, PS2, Xbox, Xbox 360 and PS3 get boosts in August from Madden. I would also argue that even though the game was released on Wii its not really a "hardware mover" as it is on other platforms. Usually when rival platforms get a big mover, Nintendo counters (or tries to) - GTA was countered by Mario Kart - MGS4 was countered by Rockband.

Sure enough, Mario Sluggers is out next week as the counter-attempt and that should accompany either a boost in Wii supply, or a boost in Wii demand, and potentially both. Walmart for one is advertising Wii consoles next week, and thats a fairly rare occurence, so I'm inclined to believe there will be a pretty big shipment.

As we move from August to October, sales should improve for Wii as the software situation ramps up again. I think its fair to say mid July to mid August was the worst month for Wii game releases in the USA, so its not really surprising there has been a bit of slowdown. Wario is September, as is Star Wars The Force Unleashed, Sim City Creator, Samba De Amigo and De Blob. Thats a much more diverse lineup than in recent months. October has a new Cooking Mama (million seller on DS), and alot of sports, movie and party games for Wii, so that should be a strong expanded audience month. November is double to triple  October if supply is available usually.  December is usually two times November and 4 to 5 times October.

I wouldn't be surprised if August is the lowest Wii month since January this year and lowest until sometime in early 2009 (likely January again with severe shortages if supply is too low).

I agree. It's why no one should expect the Wii version to sell that well at the start.



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