How will Super Paper Mario sell?

[Steve 3.2]

Jiggy37 said: I think Super Paper Mario will be to New Super Mario Bros. what Big Brain Academy (DS) was to Brain Training 2. Respectable, certainly a million-seller, but not an incredible runaway success.

Good analogy. Nintendo may have even put themselves in a position where traditional Nintendo titles do not sell well. Japan seems to be focused on the non-Mario Wii Sports and Wii Play titles. There's no other game that comes close to those million plus sellers at the moment. In the US, it's Wii Sports (as a pack-in), Wii Play, and Zelda. So at least NoA can claim that they're capturing some of their regular fans and some new ones. I'm not familiar with the situation in Europe, but I would expect it to be a mix between the US and Japan since Nintendo hasn't placed very well there in the past couple of console generations. But back to my point, with a much smaller user base than the DS and one who's focused on Wii Sports, game sales of 'traditional' games may be much lower on the Wii. Edit: The game will do best in the US, will do fine (couple of million total), and will not sell Wiis... but they're hard enough to get as it is.