My Final Fantasy XIII Prediction

[ZenfoldorVGI]

blazinhead89 said:
My Prediction? Final Fantasy XIII (PS3) sales will in Japan ( Excluding NA+EU sales ) , be greater than Final Fantasy XIII Xbox 360 Total worldwide sales (NA+EU). I have already agreed to a bet with Dolla Dolla about this statement. What do you guys think?

 

You have a less than 50/50 shot, imo. You have convinced yourself you have a 100 percent chance to win. I wouldn't have taken that bet.

You've failed to calculate something. 360 owners buy hyped games at a much faster rate than PS3 owners. The 360 has a sick attack rate and despite all odds, software sells like they slapped the word Wii on the box.

So, there is a good chance that a ton of 360 owners are gonna pick this game up, and numbers for the 360 worldwide are increasing a lot faster than numbers for the PS3 in Japan.

Your bet should have been, "The PS3 will sell more copies worldwide than the 360."

Hell, the PS3 might even outsell the 360 by that time in others and america. However, you are taking a significant chance with the way the bet stands now. Again, PS3 sales are moving slow in Japan. The relative increase is very small compared to the increase of the 360 in Others and America. If the game released today, the 360 would certainly sell more in Others/America considering there are only 2.3 million PS3's in Japan total, going against about 20 million 360's with rabid software purchasers in Others and America.

You're win is banking on FFXIII being a huge hardware seller, the PS3's userbase significantly increasing in the next year in Japan, and FFXIII having at least a 50 percent attach rate to current owners.