June 30, 2008 Update:
Platform SW HW SW:HW Ratio SW: HW Ration through 3/31/08
Wii 188.85m 29.62m 6.376 6.071
DS 406.19m 77.53m 5.239 5.235
GB 501.11m 118.69m 4.222
GBA 376.94m 81.24m 4.640
NES 500.01m 61.91m 8.076
SNES 379.06m 49.1m 7.720
N64 224.97m 32.93m 6.832
GC 208.56m 21.74m 9.593 9.590
Lifetime estimates for DS:
HW ~ 120m-150m
SW:HW Ratio 5-6 (most top DS titles have now released)
Total DS SW Shipped When It Stops Selling: 600m - 750m
Life Time Estimates for Wii:
HW ~ Unknown but at least 60m by the time things are said and done
SW: HW Ratio at least 6.5 given that Wii has at least 15 million sellers yet to come (GHIV, Wii Sports Resort, Wii Music, Rockband 2, Red Steel 2, Pikmin 3, Animal Crossing Wii, MySims Kingdom, Monster Hunter 3, Final Fantasy: Crystal Chronicles, Mario Party 10, Sonic & The Black Knight, Zelda Wii, Rayman 3 the inevitable good sword play Motion-plus game, the inevitable good Star Wars Motion-plus game, the inevitable good Motion-plus boxing game, etc).
Guess: Final SW: HW ratio ~ 8.5-10
HW ~ 15m-25m J, 30m-60m A, 40-70m O
HW ~ 85m-155m
Total SW ~ 720m-1555m
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
