PS3 will reach 40 million consoles LTD by end of 2009

[TheSource]

I have:

PS3 shipments = 24m LTD through March 31, 2009 (Sony beats its projection slightly)

Wii shipments = 51m LTD through March 31, 2009 (Nintendo beats its projection slightly)

Xbox 360 Shipments = 29.5m LTD through March 31, 2009 (if you believe the Ars Technica rumor that 360 will be $400/$300/$200 once early Sept rolls around)

Through June 09'

Wii shipments: 58m

PS3 shipments: 26m (price cut)

Xbox 360 shipments: 30.5m

Through Sept 09'

Wii Shipments: 65m

Xbox 360 Shipments: 32.3

PS3 Shipments: 28m

Through Dec 09'

Wii Shipments: 77.5m

Xbox 360 Shipments: 37m

PS3 Shipments: 34m 

Through Mar 10'

Wii Shipments: 82.5m

Xbox 360 Shipments: 38m

PS3 Shipments: 35.5m

Through June 10'

Wii Shipments: 87.5m

Xbox 360 Shipments: 39.5m

PS3 Shipments: 37.5m

Through Sept 10'

Wii Shipments: 92.5m

Xbox 360 Shipments: 40.5m

PS3 Shipments: 39m

Through Dec 10'

Wii Shipments: 100m (100m in four years - all time record if this happens - faster than DS & PS2 by months)

PS3 Shipments: 43m

Xbox 360 Shipments: 42.5m (new Xbox in this quarter potentially)

 

I had initially believed Xbox 360 would be passed by PS3 by the end of 2009. However, with stronger sales for 360 in Japan, and Microsoft actually doing a real price drop this September in the USA, and Sony not shipping as many PS3s as I had expected last quarter (about 1.35m lower than I had been expecting) it looks like it will be in 2010, if things keep going as they are. Through 2009, price cuts will favor Microsoft more than Sony so its really up to Microsoft to determine whether it wants to make mad monies or to smack Sony while it can for market share.