Prediction: Wii will hit 17-18 million consoles sold by year's end

[Final-Fan]

Obviously Wii sales are completely dependent on how fast Nintendo is accelerating its production and how many Wiis are being socked away for the Christmas crunch.

No, I am not endorsing the conspiracy theories "zOMG Wiis are being stockpiled" -- but it is a simple fact that Nintendo is going to need extra Wiis for the holiday season or there will be riots in front of Gamestop. Those Wiis aren't going to magically appear, they're going to be pulled out of whatever secret bunker Nintendo has labeled "Do not open till Xmas".

Anyway:

Wii: 17-20 million, depending on the accuracy of the above paragraph.

360: 12.5-15 million, depending on whether Halo 3/Bioshock/Mass Effect actually drive 360 sales through the roof like everyone seems to think they will.

PS3: 5.5-8 million, depending on whether the price drops on the 80GB, whether people care that it lacks the Emotion Engine, and on just how much money people are willing to put under the tree.

Some people (Crono) will be incredulous that I put the roof of my PS3 prediction so high, and I'm not saying it'll necessarily get there, but if the holiday spendathon makes people more willing to spend a lot on single items then I think it definitely has a shot.

My guesses are 18.5, 13.5, and 7 million, respectively.