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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS3 will FLY past 30 MILLION this year 100%

Serious_frusting on 01 October 2009
makingmusic476 said:

Yeah, it probably will.  And SF, you left out the week ending September 28th, 2008 in your calculations.

From the 28th of September, 2008, to the 3rd of January, 2009, the PS3 and 360 sold the following amounts:

Console PS3 X360
Total
3,993,983
5,893,796

The PS3 would have to sell 400k less units from now until the end of the year as the 360 did last year to reach 30 million - 5.45 million.  It's certainly possible.

The 360 dropped to $199 on September 5th of last year.  The following graph shows the 360's sales from the surrounding timeframe:

http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS3&reg2=All&cons3=X360&reg3=All&start=39677&end=39747

As you can see, the 360 didn't have near the spike the ps3 did following the price cut, nor did it have as sustained weekly sales. It took until the week ending 10/26/08 for the 360 to even top 200k during one week.  The ps3 obviously has far more momentum from its price cut compared to the 360 last year, and it should outperform the 360 from last year over the holidays.  That's not even taking things like Final Fantasy XIII into the equation.

It is highly probable that the ps3 will top 30 million before the year is out.

Because VGC have not updated the numbers at thew time of posting i just decided to say lets pretend that the PS3 does not sell another unit this september.

 

So you know.



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czecherychestnut on 01 October 2009

When I first saw the thread title I thought unlikely, even though I wanted it to, but your analysis is quite a clever way of capturing the holiday effect, so yeah I think it could very well reach 30 mil.

If Sony did manage to sell 13 million PS3's this financial year (31 Mar 10), what would their total PS3 sales be?



Somini on 01 October 2009

It's highly possible with the way things are looking right now. Check the news section. It seems the PS3 has sold another 230k last week!!



jadakiss1217 on 01 October 2009

I think it will easily reach 30million at the end of the year.My end of the year prediction has the PS3 at 31.5-33 million and I'll stand by that.



End of 2016 prediction

PS4:43M-46M

XBONE:28M-33M

welshbloke on 01 October 2009

Certainly not a way off prediction and very doable. I do not think it will breeze it though.



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(Welsh(Folk) Living Beyond Borders)

Winner of the 2010 VGC Holiday sales prediction thread with an Average 1.6% accuracy rating. I am indeed awesome.

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Son1x on 01 October 2009
FastFord58 said:
Sony. LTTP.

...A Link to the Past, lol :D

I also think it'll pass 30m. 



"And yet, I've realized that maybe living a "decent" life means you won't ever have a "good" life."

 

Anthony_1991 on 01 October 2009

hmmm....when you put it like that i can actually see it happening.

GO PS3!!



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markers on 01 October 2009

Oh it will hit 30+ million



mtofu on 01 October 2009

i think 30mil is a no brainer.



Vetteman94 on 01 October 2009

Well your analysis really make it tough to argue against it. The PS3 should easily match last years 360 numbers and probably surpass them. So I see 30-31M as a strong possibilty.