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Crazzyman's Predictions for 2009, they're actually quite reasonable now

Forums - Sales Discussion - Crazzyman's Predictions for 2009, they're actually quite reasonable now

These prediction were made around the end of 2008, and most of them are not to Crazzy, some are lol

 

CrazzyMan said:


1. HW for PS3: 42-45 mln., X360: 35-38 mln., Wii: 65-70 mln., PSP: 65-70 mln., DS: 125-127 mln. =)

Seems high for the PS3 and PSP, but X360, Wii and DS could be right on


2. Pricecut will be only in Autumn OR slim version release with new price.

Bang on with this one


3. PS3 will be ahead of x360 atleast by 7 mln. by the end of 2009.

Not sure if he means WW or for the year, but either way both don't seem like it'll happen


4. FFXIII will sell over 1.5-2 mln. on first week in Japan and reach 3 mln. by the end of 2009.

Depends when it's released for the "3 million by the end of 2009" part, but I agree 100% on the 1.5 - 2 million first week prediction

 

5. GT5 will sell over 5 mln. (IF released WW) by the end of 2009.

Sounds somewhat reasonable, again depends when it's released, I'd say if it's released in November WW it should be able to sell 4 million by the end of the year.

 

6. MGS4 will reach 4.5-5 mln. by the end of 2009.

Definitely a possibility now that it has the greatest hits is released.

 

7. LBP will reach over 5 mln. by the end of 2009.

Not going to happen


8. KZ2 will sell atleast 1-2 mln. first month and reach over 5 mln. by the end of the year.

Again, not going to happen, but it did hit 1 - 2 million in the first month

 

9. PSP will reach 65-70 mln. (probably will have a pricecut) by the end of 2009.

I'm not sure if the PSP's price cut was this year or not, but I highly dought it'll sell 65 - 70 million by 2009

 

10. More(A LOT, mostly Japan) 3rd party PS3 exclusives will be annnounced.

Kind of but not really A LOT more, it was going well in around the beginning of the year, but not so much now.

 

11. Uncharted 2 will reach over 2.5-3 mln. by the end of 2009.

It's possible

 

12. Heavy Rain to sell over 1 mln. by the end of 2009.

Well it's not released in 2009, but it should sell over  1 million

 

13. FFXIII to be released in NA by the end of 2009. Sell atleast 2 times more on PS3, then on x360 in NA.

Won't happen but it could sell two times more then the X360

 

14. RE5 sells better on PS3 by the end of 2009.

So far this prediction is right on

 

15. WKC to reach around 2 mln. by the end of 2009.

Not releasing in 2009, but could be pretty close to 2 million, maybe 1 - 1.5 million

 

16. Infamous to reach atleast 2-2.5 mln. by the end of 2009.

Probably won't happen, maybe 1.5 million with holiday boost.

 

17. Quantum theory - atleast 1 mln. by the end of 2009, DS - 500k.

Again not releasing in 2009, it could hit a 1 million on the PS3 and 500K for the DS

 

18. KH3 announced for PS360(or atleast for PS3) on TGS09.

Definitely a possibility

 

19. Kojima to announce new PS3 exclusive on TGS09.

Probably not but anything could happen

 

20. Ico 3 and God of War 3 to be released by the end of 2009 or early 2010. 1 and 2 mln. in first 10 weeks.

Both will be in 2010 I think, but 1 and 2 million in the first 10 weeks seems very reasonable to me

 

21. SO4 and ToV to be announced for PS3.

ToV is coming to the PS3 but Star Ocean IV hasn't been annouced...yet (once SE sees how well ToV does on the PS3 it'll likely bring SOIV over)

 

And there you have it, for being so crazzy some of those predictions are spot on.

To bad he can't come back :(



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Even a broken clock is right twice a day. Crazzyman was a lot like Pachter wrong most of the time, but made a few right predictions.



3. He means WW, look at number 1 (the PS3 range is 7 million ahead of the X360 range).

I didn't count them but it seems that just as many are totally incorrect or unlikely, as are correct or likely.



A game I'm developing with some friends:

www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm

It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.

I don't vouch for lunacy....



There are a lot of "probablys" in there, and those don't count as correct predictions.

So, on average: Meh.



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illiteratewhino said:
There are a lot of "probablys" in there, and those don't count as correct predictions.

So, on average: Meh.

Pretty much this...

 

Also for your avvy I want to post this...



Former something....

wow only a few a correct predictions although i am not saying i could do any better...



╔╦╦╗╔╦╗
║║║║╠╬╣
║║║║║║║ WOULD LIKE TO PLAY!!
╚══╝╚╩╝         

he's got more predictions correct than JOHN LUCAS

so why is one hated while the other revered as a some sort of a "god"?



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

Because one writes well, and other other uses too many =))))))))))))

That could be the reason, or maybe because one is a fanboy of the winning console that could reach the level he predicts (on the consrvative side), and the other of a losing console that is reaaaaally far off when talking about his console´s numbers...

Or maybe a little bit of both

Besides one calls himself crazzzzzy=))), and the other one reveres himself as some sort of god, I tell you something about selfsteem, you end up being beter appreciated if you have it ;)



lol really terrible predictions. All made with fanboy goggles on.