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Forums - Sales Discussion - March NPD Predictions

So just a question anyone know when data for this month will be released.  I hear it could be the 12th or 19th but so close to both of those dates someone has to know when it is now.  So if anyone knows thx.



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I'm expecting the 19th since the data run through April 7th.  I'll be pleasently surprised if it comes out the 12th...



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

yeahh, I wish I could delete posts...



LEFT4DEAD411.COM
Bet with disolitude: Left4Dead will have a higher Metacritic rating than Project Origin, 3 months after the second game's release.  (hasn't been 3 months but it looks like I won :-p )

I'll be very optimistic in my predictions:

DS - 500k

Wii - 400k

X360 - 300 k

PS2 - 250k

PSP - 250k 

PS3 - 180k

GBA - 130k

GC - 20k



It sounds good when you say "For the People", but what you really want is... a stronger army than the Knights, and the evil power to control the people.

(Ramza Beoulve, Final Fantasy Tactics)

DS 400,000

Wii 360,000

PS2 300,000

360  275,000

PSP 200,000

GBA 165,000

PS3 160,000

GC   15,000

XBX 300 



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I think since it is 5 weeks, but the end of Nintendo's fiscal year, Wii/DS sales will be about the same as last month.  Apparently 360 and PS3 will be as well since it seems like Motorstorm offset some of the PS3 sales decline, without stopping it or reversing the trend, and 360 had little to drive it this month besides games from earlier in the year, DDR and GH2 late in the period..so I'm gonna say...

DS - 420,000 (84,000/week - 'short supply')

Wii -  330,000 (66,000/week - about a 20% drop/week based on supply)

PS2 - 320,000 (64,000/week - dropping off when adjusted for 5 weeks despite God of War 2)

360 - 275,000 (55,000/week - staying within that 50-55k range/week as usual)

PSP - 200,000 (40,000/week - slightly higher than usual)

GBA - 180,000 (36,000/week - great bargain/gift)

PS3 - 165,000 (33,000/week - small bump from Motorstorm week to week)

GC - 20,000 (4,000/week - Dead.)

Xbox - 350 (50/week - Dead Squared.)

As a general rule 200k-300k is normal in the first 8 months of the year..with 150k to 200k as bad, 300k to 350k as good, 350k+ usually a result of an amazing game or sheer dominance, and under 150k usually due to a drought, price, or a dying console. 

When big games come out in Sept-October the ante goes WAY up..and sales can reach 500,000 or more.  November and December are in a league of their own.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

Damn it not again.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

The source : I will be very happy if you were right but I think 130 or 140k for Wii will be a reasonable amount... (and PS3 : 250k)

 

 



fabinou said:

The source : I will be very happy if you were right but I think 130 or 140k for Wii will be a reasonable amount... (and PS3 : 250k)

 

 


I don't see any reason why the Wii would perform at a dramatically lower level in March than it did in February, and I don't se any reason why the PS3 would perform at a dramatically higher level in March than it did in February.



Maybe because I'm a pessimist person... (and I believe Lazard investor when he talks about "short wii supplies", and I believe Gamestops CEO...)

 I have also noticed that PS3 sells rather well (amazon.com) since the week after the european launch...