hey leo...maybe you should start thinking about putting your ps3 prediction back in your signature...we're getting kinda close to the holidays and you are making some pretty wild claims...if you're right I'm sure everyone will give u a cookie.

This is all speculation.

I talked to my buddy who works for Sony as a janitor (He is a Sony Style employee though) and when he was cleaning the mens room, he overheard Seth Luisi say that the PS3 40gb will now include this:

It's not just a PS3, but it's a home media center!
It includes HDMI, Ethernet cable, and a Dualshock 3 controller
Free copy of "One Night in Paris" on Blu-Ray
Spiderman 3 blu ray!!!
Coupon for a buy one get one free coney dog at Sonic
MGS4 game!
Free coaster (AKA Xbox 360 with Red Rings)


See, I can make a post too!

 7 Million is not so wild.

That means the PS3 have to sell around 2 million in three monthis.

I think it is possible (I don't say it will).

Their are a lot of games released the next three months and especially the Christmas period will sell a lot more PS3 than an avarage week now.

I think that losing the backwards compatibility would really hurt the value of the ps3, making $399 not seem that good of a deal anymore. I hope that Sony chose to keep the BC but I have a feeling they didn't.

But isn't ps1 backwards compatibility software only? If that's the case, I can't see them removing ps2 BC and keeping ps1 BC. It just wouldn't make sense.

 Didn't MS sell like 4 mil. 360s over the holidays last year?  If so, I can see a $399 ps3 helping Sony sell as much.

http://www.upcdatabase.com/item.asp?upc=711719800606

No one can deny it now.

Leo just updated those numbers...prior to my recommendation the ps3 line said that he didn't know if the ps3 would even survive through the end of the year...lol.

 The X360 sold in the month december according to VGCHARTZ around 2 million worldwide.

Sony will *easily* sell 2m over this Xmas period - WITHOUT the $399 PS3. That's nothing for the worldwide holiday sales of a console.

I'm a bit sad about no PS2 backwards compat. One of my primary incentives to get a PS3 would be to play enhanced PS2 titles. My mate who picked up a PS3 is using it solely for PS2 titles (playing God of War II and loving it). Without BC he wouldn't have bought it.

Might be short term gain for Sony (great advertising - "PS3 now $399!!!!!") - but may cause them a lot of long-term pain. I can see a lot of parents trading in the PS2 + games for the PS3, then getting home to discover favourite PS2 titles just don't work.

...

The memory card thing is annoying as well. We regularly do a photo slideshow on our Wii for guests (works great), and not being able to do this on the PS3 - out of the box - sort of sucks. We do have a "memcard to USB" box/cable - but we NEED it on the PC, and it would suck to have to unplug it, and plug it into a PS3 just to look at pictures.

...

One of the reasons I think the Wii is so appealing, is its compact, simple, has ONE model - and low fuss. I like all the features in the (full version) PS3, but if Sony is starting to push models without some features - that's pretty sad.

Another issue - with games "pre-installing" on the PS3, I wonder how long before the 40Gig drive gets filled up. Install HOME, some PSStore demos/games/movies, and a couple of big games... and no more space?

...

I think Sony is going the wrong way. I would rather see them: Drop the price on the 80Gig model to $499, and introduce a new "uber" (Elite?) model at $599 - bigger hdisk, more functionality, etc...

They should be pushing the "premium" device angle (and asking a premium price), not turning their premium device into a "half-assed" premium device.

(with no memcard + PS2 support, that is two *new* ticks the Wii gets over this model in terms of features...)

Yeah, I just checked, and if you include November, it puts them over 3 mil.  If you include October, they sold close to 4 mil.  Basically, the ps3 could still sell 3-4 mil. for the rest of this year, especially with the help of a $399 ps3.

In the end I expect the ps3 to sell close to 9 mil., much like the 360 did last year.