Presently, it's pretty much accepted for fact that Wii sales are limited by supplies coming in each week but that fact had me wondering for a while how much it would sell if every person who WANTS a Wii would magically find one. What would be the first weekly sales of an unlimited Wii? and what would sales in the next weeks be like?

 My (very) amateur guess would be around 450k on the first week and around 250k the following weeks...  what do you guys thinks? Too high, too low?

I would say that around 500,000 every week.

 If you are including all markets, they are already selling that.

@wangfoo : Sorry I forgot to mention my estimations were for North America.

It will sell exactly 1 million units in 1 week then sell 300k then sell 200k then hold around 100k for the remaining weeks, then slowly drop down to 60k..

One million the first week then it starts to plummit fast as the lemming effect of getting something hard to get wears off. There's no way Nintendo is actually going to derail this gravy train by actually meeting demand.  Just the fact that it's hard to get has created an amazing amount of press. 

Anyone who thinks that people are buying the Wii because it is hard to get are pretty foolish ... I bet they believe the PS3 is selling so poorly because it is easy to get your hands on ... Right now if the Wii was readily available everywhere it probably wouldn't see dramatically higher sales; outside of the holiday season few consoles can sell at the Wii's level and (with the exception of the Nintendo DS) I can't think of a console that would steadily sell more than about 1.25 to 1.5 Million consoles every month. After Thanksgiving and Christmas has passed I do expect the Wii will become a lot more popular ... Last Christmas only a handful of people were lucky enough to have gotten their hands on a Wii and as many/most of them will tell you the Wii was a massive hit at Christmas parties; people who never play videogames (or haven't played videogames since the Atari) saw something interesting/unique and fun in the Wii. This Thanksgiving and Christmas the Wii will end up being far more common and (pretty much) every middle class family will be exposed to the Wii at some sort of Thanksgiving/Christmas/New Years party. As the Wii Sports, Mario Parties, Wario Wares, Rayman Raving Rabbids, Boogies and Dance Dance Revolutions are brought out for their widespread appeal old gamers and new gamers alike will be asking the questions "How much does it cost?", "Where can you buy it?" and "What does it come with?" Certainly, $250 is still a lot of money for the average family to spend but when a man's Wife or Daughter asks him for a $250 Wii after he has already spent $400 on a XBox 360 or $600 on a PS3 for his sons (or himself) he will be (essentially) forced to buy the Wii. Even those that are not guilt tripped into buying the system will likely become far more interested around May/June when the Wii gets its 18 month price reduction to $200. The "Wii Fad" is just getting started ... By January 1st 2008 there will no longer be any of these childish claims that the Wii is only selling because it is hard to find.

 That's only true if the audience wants it only for that reason. So far you have no proof of that. It's this illogic that sperates the fanboys from the real gamers.

I have no proof but here's my reasoning:  everytime I hear people talking about the Wii (either to me or I happen to hear other peoples' conversations) they almost always (like 99% of the time) talk about how hard it is to get.  They rarely if ever talk about the games on it, I mean besides Wii Play I don't think I've actually ever heard anyone (in person not in forums) talk about another game.

Also most of the media attention the system now gets isn't from it's games, it's from how hard the systems are to get.  If they were suddenly available everywhere I have a feeling that kind of free publicity would disappear as well as the conversations from people talking about the same thing.  Without that the system's profile would become much lower.

I do think though even if Wii demand is met (which I honestly don't think Nintendo will purposely do because of the reasons I stated above) it would still get attention next year solely because of Wii Fit.

 Oddly enough people I've heard talking about the Wii who were obviously non-gamers where talking about the games. I've heard talk about Wii sports the most and also some guy talking about "a crazy game where you spin a cow above your head and then throw it" (Rayman). The only guy I've heard talk about the Wii supply problem is one of my co-workers who searched for 4 months before finally getting one (while I was sooo happy to have gotten mine on launch date).

 I do believe that the free publicity due to the hard to find factor helps but I don't think it's that big of an influence.