Personally I think the PS3 version will eventually sell more, but not this year.
What I find funnier is the number of people who think MGS4 will sell the most is higher than the number who think Mario Kart will.
Personally I think it will end up with Wii Fit 1st, although I can understand peoples arguments that it might not.
but then Mario Kart will probably be second despite so few voting for it.
Here is my guess of the order of those titles.
1. Wii Fit
2. Mario Kart
3/4. Smash Bros ~ GTAIV (360)
5. GTAIV (PS3)
6. MGS4
MGS4 is pretty much destined to be in last place, even if those hoping for phenomenal sales where it passes GTAIV (PS3) are correct will mean it is in 4th or 5th.
I am pretty sure I have the three Nintendo titles in the correct order, although we have yet to see Smash in Europe so It could stay ahead of Mario Kart.
GTAIV is the tough one for me as I don't know how it's legs will pan out yet, the PS3 version is unlikely to be higher than 5th, at best 4th by January but the 360 version might be able to outsell Kart or Smash or both.... so all three of those titles might be close.