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April NPD 2019 thread

Forums - Sales Discussion - April NPD 2019 thread

RolStoppable said:
Ryng_Tolu said:
Thread update.

Switch VS 3DS comparation after 26 months

Lifetime sales
Switch ~ 11.75 million
3DS ~ 8.37 million

3rd year
Switch ~ 1.27 million
3DS ~ 677K

26th month
Switch ~ 227K
3DS ~ 113K

Switch sold almost twice as many units from January to April 2019 than the 3DS sold from January to April 2013. Momentum is in Switch's favor by a significant margin.

And 3DS at this point of life already had a big pricedrop and a new version... The 4th year will be very interesting to watch.



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Ryng_Tolu said:

And 3DS at this point of life already had a big pricedrop and a new version... The 4th year will be very interesting to watch.

I don't think the fourth year will be interesting. By then the 3DS will be viewed similarly to how the Wii U has been viewed for the better part of the last two years: Simply not good enough to compete in a worthwhile sales comparison, so other consoles will have to be used as measuring stick.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

RolStoppable said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

And 3DS at this point of life already had a big pricedrop and a new version... The 4th year will be very interesting to watch.

I don't think the fourth year will be interesting. By then the 3DS will be viewed similarly to how the Wii U has been viewed for the better part of the last two years: Simply not good enough to compete in a worthwhile sales comparison, so other consoles will have to be used as measuring stick.

That's a good point, though a comparation with Wii/GBA which did >7m in the 4th year would be hard to reach, but surely would make more sense than 3DS which did 2.57 million.



Ryng_Tolu said:

That's a good point, though a comparation with Wii/GBA which did >7m in the 4th year would be hard to reach, but surely would make more sense than 3DS which did 2.57 million.

I don't think that would be hard to reach, actually. So far in 2019 Switch is going at a pace where it has a realistic shot to sell 7m for the year and having another year like that isn't too farfetched when the timing of price cuts and revisions is taken into account.

2020 is also the year where the development teams of Mario Kart 8 Deluxe/ARMS, Splatoon 2 and Super Mario Odyssey can have their next games ready, so there's no good reason to expect a shortage of system sellers. The developers who finished 3DS titles in 2017 and 2018 are also due for new releases and while not all of them will make it by the end of 2020, there will be more robust first party support for Switch in its fourth year than for other Nintendo consoles in the past, simply because Nintendo has only one console to support this time around.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

RolStoppable said:
Switch numbers are okay. Neither the comparison to Switch's last April nor the direct comparison to the PS4 and XB1 this April should be used to declare the numbers great, because the bar is low in either case.

A bit perplexing that seemingly both Sony and Microsoft are targeting a late 2020 launch for their next consoles. Software releases in 2019 have hardly moved the needle on hardware sales anymore and a variety of promotions in the past will lessen the impact of an official price drop in the future. 2020 won't be looking good for them when 2019 already turns into a crawl.

They both don't care. They are making a killing off of software and subscriptions currently. Low hardware sales for a year doesn't matter. They are making huge profits and that's what they want



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Numbers



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

PSN: StlUzumaki23

Into the spring doldrums we go.

I don't have time to post charts at the moment. I have to leave to go to work in less than two hours, but I should have something posted late tonight or some time tomorrow. Still, to do some quick calculations, the Switch is up nearly 33% YoY, the PS4 is down 42.6% (though FWIW, last April was God of War month), and the XBO is down 20.9%.



Switch had a 47% market share in April, that's pretty good.



Signature goes here!

bad ps4 numbers
sony should cut ps4 price



Bofferbrauer2 said:
[NSW] 215,000
[PS4] 166,000
[XB1] 112,000

Shore said:

Numbers out:

Switch: 227k
PS4: 148k
Xbox: 106k

A bit under for Switch, a bit over for PS4 and XBO

Not too got, not too shabby either - don't think that there's amny who predicted closer to the PS4 numbers.