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Can the Switch realistically surpass XBOX One's sales figures?

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Will the Switch surpass XBOX One?

Yes, in 2018. 14 11.11%
 
Yes, in 2019. 61 48.41%
 
Yes, in 2020. 38 30.16%
 
Not before next-gen conso... 3 2.38%
 
No, it will do well in 2018 and then drop. 2 1.59%
 
No, it will perform until 2019, then drop. 2 1.59%
 
No, it will never match 2017 in sales number. 6 4.76%
 
Total:126



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Absolutely, i would say in late 2019 or early 2020.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

No real reason why it couldn't. XBOne is struggling against the PS4 and the Switch in terms of software exclusives, the Switch has a lot of potential for a pricedrop (the Tegra chips are somewhat old at this point) and I don't know how many years the PS4/XBOne have left in the market until the next gen comes.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

Even after the hardware revisions, the gap worldwide between Xone and Switch/PS4 is way too big to be ignored. it would be necessary for the Switch to fell a lot and the Xone rise a lot in order for the Switch not be able to catch up.



Yes however that depends if MS decide to build a XB2 or continue a never ending generation like PC than it wont.



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Azzanation said:
Yes however that depends if MS decide to build a XB2 or continue a never ending generation like PC than it wont.

XBO isnt popular enough to pull off a never ending generation.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Well yes, in the UK the X1 has slipped behind the 360, not sure about the rest of the world.



It depends on rather or not the next Xbox is truly going to be the start of a new generation, or if it will be part of the Xbox One family. MS has spoken quite a few times about traditional generations being dead for them, they might release a successor to the X in a few years, drop standard XB1 support, and have games run on both X and the next Xbox for a few years.

A for instance scenario for you based on what MS has talked about:

2020- Xbox One XL releases (hopefully with a better name), Xbox One and Xbox One S support dropped, Xbox One X keeps getting games but at 1080p now instead of 1800p-4K

2023- Xbox One XXL releases, Xbox One X support dropped, Xbox One XL keeps getting games but running at a much lower resolution than Xbox One XXL

If such a scenario were to happen, Xbox One sales would continue to grow generation after generation, so even if Switch did pass XB1 initially, Xbox One would pass it back again once Nintendo replaces the Switch.



Helloplite said:

Of course, the above scenario is impossible. With XBOX One X, Microsoft has managed to resurrect the platform's sales, and they could well perform much higher than anticipated in 2018. Nintendo, on the other hand, would pretty much have to surpass their first year, which sounds impossible at this moment.

Impossible!? Switch had huge stock problem last year, Switch continue to selling great and Nintendo planing to ship around 20m for FY 2018.

Switch will probably surpass Xbox One combined sales sometime next year.



I imagine at the very least by the end of 2020 even if their lineup strategy doesn't improve ...