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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Prediction: Xbox One will outsell Switch 3 to 1 this year

Pyro as Bill on 17 July 2017
Barkley said:
Pyro as Bill said:
Switch has passed 4m already and outsold XBO 3:1 from launch and 2:1 for the year.

Why would you necro a troll thread made by someone who's been perma-banned?

Switch has passed 4m and he wasn't alone in thinking XBO would outsell Switch. There's plenty of crow to go round without Mr President being here.



Nov 2016 - NES outsells PS1 (JP)

Don't Play Stationary 4 ever. Switch!

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Barkley on 17 July 2017
Pyro as Bill said:
Barkley said:

Why would you necro a troll thread made by someone who's been perma-banned?

Switch has passed 4m and he wasn't alone in thinking XBO would outsell Switch. There's plenty of crow to go round without Mr President being here.

You're right, that people might have agreed didn't even cross my mind, I'm always in favour of serving crow.



finalrpgfantasy on 17 July 2017

Even his prediction of the Xbox Scorpion's price (Xbox One X) was wrong.



monocle_layton on 17 July 2017

If feels so nice to see all the Nintendo haters lose their voice. Switch is a success, games are coming, and now they got nothing to support their Nintendoomed conspiracy



JRPGfan on 17 July 2017

Who actually agreed with him though?

Xbox One is probably going to do less than 8m this year (ww), while the Switch is most likely going to be 10-14m (depends on how many they can make).

It was a pretty damn bold prediction by the OP, whos gotta be a really big Xbox fan, to make such a prediction.



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StarDoor on 17 July 2017
JRPGfan said:
Who actually agreed with him though?

I found two people who explicitly said "I agree":

pbroy said:
I agree. 4K Blu-ray with the best looking multi-plats should be an inticing offer to many. Let's not forget the TV Guide capabilities with built in IR blaster. 😍

Also, if Switch fails to deliver Achievements, there's gonna be a lot of disappointed people.
PotentHerbs said:
I do agree, though we gotta see Scorpio's price, 3 to 1 is very iffy.

On top of that, there were at least a dozen people who said the Xbox One would outsell the Switch, and that 4 million was realistic for this year.

celador said:

4m for Scorpio is straight up crazy. It would be amazing if it hit half of that.

And Xbox isn't going to hit 12m overall, there is nothing exclusive to push sales and Sony has the far better marketing deals. I don't see Xbox hitting 10m+ in a year this gen, it just doesn't have enough going for it and doesn't have enough countries that care about it.

As for Switch, it comes down to what else Nintendo announce at E3. If it's nothing substantial, then 4m for Switch by year's end is reasonable. If they announce Pokemon Stars and bundle that in with the console around the holidays for $299, plus perhaps maybe a couple more games not yet announced, I think Switch can do 6m by year's end.

4 million for the Switch this year is reasonable. 6 million is possible if a Pokémon is released and bundled at $299 during the holidays.

In reality, the Switch is on pace to double that without Pokémon or a price cut.

Soundwave said:
SegataSanshiro said:

With what games? It's not going to unless it shows something truly killer at E3. Not games I can get on PS4 or PC. Seriously with what?

Multiplat games. Hundreds of them. 

Truth is it's only gaming forums that exclusives are fetishized. Regular gamers just mainly want access to the major multiplats, that's 90% of their gaming diet. 

"Message board gamers" are like restaurant snobs in some ways, only eating certain kinds of foods, regular games don't really care about that shit, they just want a decent restaurant to sit in, maybe one that has some good nachos as a starter and a good steak. 

XBox One S has plenty of games. More good games than any reasonable human being with any semblance of social/work/school life would even have time to play through. 

Wow, Soundwave. You've really changed your tune since then.

barneystinson69 said:
mine said:
Switch will crush the XOne. Gaming isn't about graphics, gaming is about fun. And nothing beats Nintendo.

The Switch has a unique selling point whereas the XBox Scorpio is just another XBox whose graphics are already surpassed by PCs...

I am willing to bet a lot that the XB1 will outsell the Switch this year.

Barney wins a special kind of award for saying this after the Switch had already launched.



barneystinson69 on 17 July 2017
StarDoor said:
JRPGfan said:
Who actually agreed with him though?

I found two people who explicitly said "I agree":

pbroy said:
I agree. 4K Blu-ray with the best looking multi-plats should be an inticing offer to many. Let's not forget the TV Guide capabilities with built in IR blaster. 😍

Also, if Switch fails to deliver Achievements, there's gonna be a lot of disappointed people.
PotentHerbs said:
I do agree, though we gotta see Scorpio's price, 3 to 1 is very iffy.

On top of that, there were at least a dozen people who said the Xbox One would outsell the Switch, and that 4 million was realistic for this year.

celador said:

4m for Scorpio is straight up crazy. It would be amazing if it hit half of that.

And Xbox isn't going to hit 12m overall, there is nothing exclusive to push sales and Sony has the far better marketing deals. I don't see Xbox hitting 10m+ in a year this gen, it just doesn't have enough going for it and doesn't have enough countries that care about it.

As for Switch, it comes down to what else Nintendo announce at E3. If it's nothing substantial, then 4m for Switch by year's end is reasonable. If they announce Pokemon Stars and bundle that in with the console around the holidays for $299, plus perhaps maybe a couple more games not yet announced, I think Switch can do 6m by year's end.

4 million for the Switch this year is reasonable. 6 million is possible if a Pokémon is released and bundled at $299 during the holidays.

In reality, the Switch is on pace to double that without Pokémon or a price cut.

Soundwave said:

Multiplat games. Hundreds of them. 

Truth is it's only gaming forums that exclusives are fetishized. Regular gamers just mainly want access to the major multiplats, that's 90% of their gaming diet. 

"Message board gamers" are like restaurant snobs in some ways, only eating certain kinds of foods, regular games don't really care about that shit, they just want a decent restaurant to sit in, maybe one that has some good nachos as a starter and a good steak. 

XBox One S has plenty of games. More good games than any reasonable human being with any semblance of social/work/school life would even have time to play through. 

Wow, Soundwave. You've really changed your tune since then.

barneystinson69 said:

I am willing to bet a lot that the XB1 will outsell the Switch this year.

Barney wins a special kind of award for saying this after the Switch had already launched.

You know none of us make 100% perfect predictions. 



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

JRPGfan on 17 July 2017
barneystinson69 said:
StarDoor said:

Barney wins a special kind of award for saying this after the Switch had already launched.

You know none of us make 100% perfect predictions. 

Hard not to like Barney :)



TH3-D0S3R on 17 July 2017

I find that 4 million this year oddly funny since the Switch passed that mark a month ago, kind of entertaining to think of.



AngryLittleAlchemist on 17 July 2017

This is why us forum users need to take into regard that our biases do not dictate the market, haha