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Prediction: PS4 will sell 55,000,000 by Dec 31. 2016

Forums - Gaming Discussion - Prediction: PS4 will sell 55,000,000 by Dec 31. 2016

Time for my yearly prediction, where I predict sales for the entire year at the start of the year

Talking about sold through units, shipped will be around 57,000,000.

Sony sold through 35.9M consoles by  Jan 3 2016, sold-in is around 37-38M. This means PS4 sold through 18.4M consoles in calendar 2015. With more games, big exclusives finally coming out, PSVR, more price reductions, possible Slim model, I'm expecting 19M if not more consoles sold in 2016.

Q1: 3M

Q2: 3.5M

Q3: 4.5M

Q4: 8M

past predictions:

2014: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=176130&page=1

2015: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=196338&page=1#

 

 



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Not possible. It's going to be very difficult and VR should convince people to buy the PS4. If VR can be used to watch movies in HD & 3d there would be a close chance.



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It could happen, I highly doubt it though, unless something crazy happens.



54-55 sounds about right
Less than 54 is very unlikely.



seems like a safe prediction, i don't know why there are people doubting you here. Saying it's gonna be up 600k over last year isn't exactly ground breaking, it could sell 18-21 million.



currently playing: Skyward Sword, Mario Sunshine, Xenoblade Chronicles X

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lol at people who says its impossible...Sony sold 18.4mil in 2015. 55mil by end of 2016 means 19mil sold in 2016. Considering PS4 price dropped happened only in late October 2015. And Sony has way more big named exclusives in 2016 than 2015. This prediction is modest, if anything.



johnsobas said:
seems like a safe prediction, i don't know why there are people doubting you here. Saying it's gonna be up 600k over last year isn't exactly ground breaking, it could sell 18-21 million.

Actually, it's saying that the PS4 will be up 1.7m (17.4m vs. 19.1m). Of course, that still makes it a tame prediction.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

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RolStoppable said:
johnsobas said:
seems like a safe prediction, i don't know why there are people doubting you here. Saying it's gonna be up 600k over last year isn't exactly ground breaking, it could sell 18-21 million.

Actually, it's saying that the PS4 will be up 1.7m (17.4m vs. 19.1m). Of course, that still makes it a tame prediction.

 

A tame (possible just smart)  prediction but the sales certainly won't be tame!  One thing is for sure,  it will pass 50m easily in 2015. Just mind blowing that.  

 

BTW when I first read the title i thought it meant by the end of last year and I nearly spit my coffee out! 



I think this prediction is more conservative than people are realizing. I think it easily reaches this number. This thread shall be revived come the end of the year ;p



RolStoppable said:
johnsobas said:
seems like a safe prediction, i don't know why there are people doubting you here. Saying it's gonna be up 600k over last year isn't exactly ground breaking, it could sell 18-21 million.

Actually, it's saying that the PS4 will be up 1.7m (17.4m vs. 19.1m). Of course, that still makes it a tame prediction.

the OP is saying 18.4 million for 2015 





currently playing: Skyward Sword, Mario Sunshine, Xenoblade Chronicles X