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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Predict Pokemon GO download count (I am inevitably right)

Slarvax on 12 July 2016
Slarvax said:
I predict your prediction will be wrong.

You were off by 2.5 million, or 25%. So I was right

Seriously tho, I have no idea what I had in mind back then, so I cant tell you what I was expecting. I was probably just being funny at your title.

And the app hasnt still released worldwide, so you will be right. But until then...



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

NNID: Slarvax - Steam: Slarvax - Friend Code:  SW 7885-0552-5988

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dark_gh0st_b0y on 12 July 2016

I'd say 500m, depending on how Nintendo supports it with updates and features, and how long people stay addicted to keep the word going

Candy Crush and Angry Birds got every age group interested, would be extremely hard for Pokemon to reach that



don't mind my username, that was more than 10 years ago, I'm a different person now, amazing how people change ^_^

Neodegenerate on 12 July 2016
dark_gh0st_b0y said:
I'd say 500m, depending on how Nintendo supports it with updates and features, and how long people stay addicted to keep the word going

Candy Crush and Angry Birds got every age group interested, would be extremely hard for Pokemon to reach that

With the exception of the AARP club I feel like Pokemon has the interest of everyone at this point.  And even then, some of them are getting into it as well.



fleischr on 12 July 2016
Neodegenerate said:
dark_gh0st_b0y said:
I'd say 500m, depending on how Nintendo supports it with updates and features, and how long people stay addicted to keep the word going

Candy Crush and Angry Birds got every age group interested, would be extremely hard for Pokemon to reach that

With the exception of the AARP club I feel like Pokemon has the interest of everyone at this point.  And even then, some of them are getting into it as well.

Especially when they have grandchildren who want to play with grandpa and grandma's iPhone

If my parents (who are 60+ years old each) can figure out geocaching, they certainly can figure this out.



I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016

Barkley on 12 July 2016
fleischr said:
Slarvax said:
I predict your prediction will be wrong.
Soundwave said:
I don't see a billion downloads ... that's quite a bit, how many games have even done that?
Neodegenerate said:
Billion lifetime is completely unrealistic. I would say 50 million tops.

So... how's your appetite for crow these days?

I wouldn't celebrate just yet... 1 Billion downloads is quite the statement. It has a shot at getting their but there's also every chance it won't quite reach those heights.



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Neodegenerate on 13 July 2016
Barkley said:
fleischr said:

So... how's your appetite for crow these days?

I wouldn't celebrate just yet... 1 Billion downloads is quite the statement. It has a shot at getting their but there's also every chance it won't quite reach those heights.

I read it more as the crow for me saying it would do 50 million tops lifetime than I did that the billion downloads would be realistic myself.



Brainslug on 13 July 2016

The news last night mentioned that the game has already been downloaded 65 million times...



Slarvax on 13 July 2016
Brainslug said:
The news last night mentioned that the game has already been downloaded 65 million times...

You must have heard wrong. Confirmed numbers are 15 million, and we have an estimate of 20 million active daily users.



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

NNID: Slarvax - Steam: Slarvax - Friend Code:  SW 7885-0552-5988

Soundwave on 13 July 2016

I didn't expect it to be this huge this quick, but I'm not really well versed on mobile download numbers, 1 billion seemed like a lot.



HoloDust on 13 July 2016
Soundwave said:
I didn't expect it to be this huge this quick, but I'm not really well versed on mobile download numbers, 1 billion seemed like a lot.

I don't think any game had 1 billion installs, not even Candy Crush. Also, I think people are overestimating appeal of Pokemon GO to general public that plays games like Candy Crush.

Than again, I would've never guessed that Real Racing 3 has 300 millions installs, so there's that.