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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 & XB1 Combined Have Sold 34M Units, Take-Two Predicts 110 Million By 2019

 

How Much Do You Think Both Will Sell By 2019?

80-100M 6 17.65%
 
100-120M 7 20.59%
 
120-150M 14 41.18%
 
150M-200M 5 14.71%
 
200+ 2 5.88%
 
Total:34

 

 

    During the Take-Two financial conference call for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2015, the publisher announced estimates for combined sales of PS4 and Xbox One.

According to the research firm IDG, that Take-Two trusts for its estimates, both consoles combined sold 34 million units by the end of the quarter (March 31st, 2015).

The firm also forecasts over 50 million units sold by the end of this fiscal year, and 110 million by 2019.

http://www.dualshockers.com/2015/05/18/ps4-xbox-one-combined-have-sold-34-million-units-110-million-by-2019-according-to-take-two/



                                                             

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I remember that other report a couple weeks ago where someone said consoles would sell 200 million by 2019 (including wii u), so 110 million is not even close (add another 20 for wii u). I think 110 is too low, maybe more like 140 million.



currently playing: Skyward Sword, Mario Sunshine, Xenoblade Chronicles X

34mn sounds reasonable, question is what they base their numbers on (IDG I mean).



well i assume the 34 million is just shipment numbers for ps4 and xb1. I don't think they know any more than we do.



currently playing: Skyward Sword, Mario Sunshine, Xenoblade Chronicles X

Puppyroach said:
34mn sounds reasonable, question is what they base their numbers on (IDG I mean).


IDG is the trusted company of choice for numerous companies worldwide. You may have heard of IDC who track mobile phone sales, same company. 

They use NPD & Gfk numbers as well as other numbers from manufacturers plus their own estimates of course. They provide forecasts and general trend data to clients as well. They recently released their 2015 whitepaper which is where this report is from. 

34m is PS4 and XB1 sales through April 2015. Sold through is what is being estimated here. 

These guys are trustworthy. 



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So wait
so its like 22.5 million ps4 and 11.5 million xbox one according to them.
Does this mean sold to retailers or customers?



Bets:

(Won)Bet with TechoHobbit: He(Techno) says 10 million by January 1,2014 I say 9 million by then. Winner gets 2 weeks of sig control.

(Lost)Bet with kinisking: I say Ps4 will win April NPD while he says Xbox One will win it; winner gets 1 week of avatar control.

Raichu's First Series:

First RPG?

First Fighter?

First Racer?

First Shooter?

First MMO?

First Horror?

Official Ni No Kuni Fanboy:

Familiars Captured:37

Game Beaten: 2 times almost

Times I got teary during some scenes: 3

OfficerRaichu15 said:
So wait
so its like 22.5 million ps4 and 11.5 million xbox one according to them.
Does this mean sold to retailers or customers?


Sold through to end users. 

We know that PS4 was 20.2m as of March 1st 2015. 

 

Just a guess but I'd say that PS4 was over 21.5m in the report above. 



Seems like we have good numbers for x1 and ps4 here them.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

DonFerrari said:
Seems like we have good numbers for x1 and ps4 here them.


I guess. 

 

If you want to see the full IDG report and have $10,000 lying around then we can buy it and break down the numbers haha. 



ZhugeEX said:
Puppyroach said:
34mn sounds reasonable, question is what they base their numbers on (IDG I mean).


IDG is the trusted company of choice for numerous companies worldwide. You may have heard of IDC who track mobile phone sales, same company. 

They use NPD & Gfk numbers as well as other numbers from manufacturers plus their own estimates of course. They provide forecasts and general trend data to clients as well. They recently released their 2015 whitepaper which is where this report is from. 

34m is PS4 and XB1 sales through April 2015. Sold through is what is being estimated here. 

These guys are trustworthy. 

IDG doesn't just "use" NPD & GfK numbers....they're official partners with The NPD Group + GfK Group + Enterbrain (Famitsu).

So they have a complete set of worldwide sell-through data.