Now I do go to these sale threads sometimes and look at people's estimates.

I usually see around 100-120 million for the PS4, and I fully agree with that. Wii U is around 15-25 million and that seems good as well. But I look at the XB1, and I generally see 30-50 million. Now that's what I have to disagree with. The XB1 did around 8 million in its first year, which is not bad but meh.

Anyway this year we have a lower price and Halo 5. I can estimate we can do around 10 million in 2015. Now people can think its a bit much, but really the PS4 should be ahead, but I think the XB1 can still do over 10 million. Also we have Halo 5 which SHOULD move consoles. Even if "most" Halo player's already have gotten the console, we should see a modest boost.

Then we have 2016, and I'm predicting a slim Xbox One and a price cut to 249$. I'm almost certain this'll be the Xbox One's peak year. And I estimate it could push around 14 million.

Then I see 2017 have a modest drop off to around 12 million. Now 2017 could peak 2016 but its unlikely, as I see this point at which many of the people who want the console already have it. Then I see 2018 drop a bit more to 10.5 million, but it should hold thanks to a new Halo (that's when I'm predicting a new Halo). Then 2019, with the release of the next gen systems, I can see around 8.5 million.

That's a grand total of 62 million, plus of course the console still sells after the gen is over, and the other 8 million can come from there. That's a grand total of 70 million. If the gen is a bit shorter, I think it can still do but it'll be harder.

Tell me what you think about this, and I'll be putting this in my sig to either be a show off or be a complete fool at the end of the gen. 

- Mod Edit, Carl

14 million in 2016? 0_O

Nope... just no.

XBO will probabily sell some like 35 million lifetime.

No not possible, it will not sale that much ever or as much in any year. This year likely will be its peak year with H5 and a steady drop of after that. It has no major exclusives to bank on after that (Gears) maybe but tis all. While the big third parties are now synonymous with PS4 and it will only grow so don't count on any extra X1 sales due to them.

Its also facing a cascading effect. The more PS4 sales the more it dominates the more it sales the more dominating it is. X1 sales will fall fast and hard in the face of overwhelming PS4 sales.

and people think ps4 cannot possibly reach 100m.

if xbox hits 70 million then ps4 must be on route to 140+ million.

Yeah, I don't see the XBO selling 14 million.

Why not, people say PS4 can do 20 million, why can't the XB1 do 14?

Seece had a 2015 LTD prediction thread and a large majority of people weren't predicting 20 and 14 million for the PS4 and XBO respectively. Most were saying 16 and 10 million.

Becasue its an X1 and not PS4, PS4 can do it becasue its the PS4 and X1 wont do it beacuse its an X1.  The base reason the X1 will not sale that is product demand, X1 lacks it.  Thats why.

So how much will it do? 10 million in peak year, i doubt it.

Who said this is the peak year?