I think it's pretty clear PS4 is going to at least hit 50% market share by the end of this year, more likely a bit more than that. According to vgchartz numbers it's already at 46-47% (potentially under-tracked) and weekly global sales have been higher than Wii U and Xbox One combined for many weeks besides the odd week here or there.

I think PS4 can easily sell far more than Xbox One and Wii U combined between now and the end of the year.

I expect PS4 will sell in excess of 18 million by 31/12/2014, Wii U maybe 10 million and Xbox One possibly 8 million.

As for LTD, I think PS4 could already be above 5%.

As others said, it does not seem to matter. So FC3, DAI and others will probably shift a bunch of ps4s.

I live in a xb tier-2 country so xb1 just launched here and sold better than expected, but sales seems to have slowed down after the release.

Today I was at a big electronics store, and they had a mountain of xb1s but not a single ps4. That got me wondering if ps4 is getting supply constrained again maybe?

For the year 2014, the PS4 will in all likelihood maintain over 50% marketshare with 60% as of current, but I don't see it hitting 50% LTD.

I'm not going to bother doing the math, but it would have to sell something closer to 70% over 2014 to negate the extra one year of sales posted by the Wii U, which is a bit unrealistic.

As much as the PS4 continues to surprise, sales wise, it doesn't seem likely.

I'd look at the production/shipping projections through 2014 first, which probably aren't available. I don't see the PS4 failing to hit a near 100% sell through on production for 2014, so it will depend upon production numbers for the Wii U and XBO, assuming they hit a near 100% sell through as well.

I think Xbox plus Wii U will comfortably outsell the PS4 this holiday but that doesn't speak for what will happen throughout the next 6 years. Having said that I don't think its a given that the Ps4 will hold 50% market share. The wii U will do around 18-25m. The Xbox will do another 40m-60m (it too early to say otherwise) and I don't actually expect the PS4 to do more then 130m. So I could see it being a bit less then 50%, it all depends on how big the Xbox's long term recovery is.