you talk like black goku, hahaha.

no offense.

1. Yes, the 3DS peaked in its 3rd year. And the only direction it can go from peaking is down. It is still selling around the same weekly as the PS4, and likely will for a while. 

2. $170 for a handheld does not translate as $170 for a home console. The demand curve for a home console is likely much more inelastic than that of a handheld. That means it responds less to differences in prices than a handheld will (the difference in price must be greater.) At $170 a PS4 would likely sell a lot, but not even PS3's sell for $170 new (unless you adjust for bundled games) these days. So it is unreasonable to compare it 1:1. $170 is a lot for a handheld, just like $400 is a lot for a home console. 

3. Still, that is only 2 mil more than the 3DS' first year, and that is with two holidays, not one. 

4. 80 mil sounds reasonable to me. The question is, will the PS4 sell 100 million though, and I just don't think it will. The market (as a whole) is in a decline and has more external competition this time around (PC gaming; Mobile gaming.) Again, we must have faith that the PS4's legs will be long, and it is based on precedent, yes, but in order for that to happen developers need to release many different types of games that appeal to a variety of people (along the lines of PS2, Wii, DS.) PS4 seems to be much more like the PS1 in that it very much appeals to a certain group of people so much so that all people in that group want a PS4, but the consequence of this is a lower saturation point. I can see the PS4 and 3DS ending somewhere close, with PS4 having more potential I suppose. But who knows, maybe the PS4 will have the mainstream appeal that gives it its legs. 

5. If adjusted for inflation, the PS2 would have been $401.65, the PS1 $453.86, the Wii $286.84. I won't compare handhelds though. All PS consoles started out with weak game libraries, from what I recall. PS4 started ahead of all of these consoles with its launch, and now is dipping far below. The issue isn't whether or not it will get games, but when it will get the games. The sooner the more Sony can remove much of the competition by maintain momentum. 

3ds + wii U > ps4 + vita


vita 15m max
wii U 25m if no successor comes early
3ds 70m
ps4 70m

oh... ,  i analyzed sales ,my estimate for ps4 sales is ,14- 15-16million by the end of the year so we agree in this, wii u 10.2 million. xbox  8.5 to 9.5 million 3ds a bold 52-55mil , p:P as for 3ds decline  in numbers,is jan-jun 13 4.4 mil vs 2.9 jan jun 2014:P

i support you twilord,i m gamer who also thinks that 3ds series will reach 100million

Will sell about the same + or - 14 million.

That's because it WAS black goku....again lol.....I seriously think that dude needs some help.....he can't stay away lol.

Oh yeah I knew you were talking about lifetime so we were clear there lol.

Okay so you are saying the PS4 will drop more than 50% of it's current sales? Because that is the only way for the Wii U to pass it in weekly sales. I don't see that happening...especially with TLOU of bundle coming, followed by the Driveclub Bundle and the White PS4 Destiny bundle all this year at that. So those will give a nice sales boost. And Christmans will be a toss up but even then I still see both the XB1 and the PS4 selling more than the Wii U. Then the PS4 will seel MORE the next two years maybe 3 than it did this year as well.

And yeah Nin does offer more casual/family games than the PS4/XB1 no argument there. But the casuals that you speak of....they usually go for whatever is most popular not what is most family friendly. And the only thing more popular than the PS4 at the moment as far as gaming goes are tablets and smart phones. And the casuals are already here this gen and growing and the sales of the Wii U are still low.

As for you last point, the Wii U already has a better price and better games yet is CONSISTENTLY getting outsold EASY. So that is not helping....more fun all depends on personal preference. And what new experiences does the Wii U offer?Don't get me wrong I am not down playing the Wii U because I think it has some very good games. But the reality is there is no logical way for it out of the blue explode in sales. It already has ALL the advantages that a system could have(first to the market, most/highest rated games and lowest price) to sell the most yet it is not.

Reality is setting in for Sony, I don't see them breaking the PS2 off it's throne with the PS4 for a couple reasons, The ps2 came down in price a lot and had several models. eventually getting to that 100 a pop cost. PS4 for the foreseeable future wont see major price changes, mainly because of the cost to keep an ecosystem running. MS knew this well before Sony and is better prepared for it. As for numbers, it won't break the Wii but... yeah. PS Vita is a very niche device and it's own hardware is it's downfall. Too expensive, too difficult (like the PS3) to program for. The fact is mobile games dont have triple A budgets so it makes the hardware useless. 3DS has the advantage here because most games are wrote from scratch for it so it has better compatibility and is easier to program for. Wii U has a wide arrange of supported languages and is very indie friendly. From recent reports, Wii U has been one of the easiest platforms to program for with plenty of potential.

PS4: 98
PSV: 16

Wii U: 28
3DS/2DS: 81

I'm being pretty generous from a programmers standpoint. I would love to create games for the Wii U, if I had the time between life and school

Your first statement makes absolutely NO SENSE. No being funny but what do you mean "Reality is setting in for Sony"? Did they say something would happen or did I miss something? What reality is setting in?Did they claim the PS4 would outsell the PS2? Because to be honest I personally don't see any home console ever outselling the PS2.

The rest of your post no issues lol. That first statement just seemed kind of odd imo.