200 million? Let's not get too carried away

What is this? *smh*

It is possible. We are talking about 200 million, after all.

I expect the 3DS to be down starting from this year, ending up at about 80-90mil units sold lifetime. I don't see the Wii U ever really picking up in sales and probably ending up at around Gamecube levels, so 20-25mil. The PS4 seems to have some massive momentum behind it, if Sony manages to keep that up aka makes great first party games for it, keeps the price competitive and just doesn't fuck up the PS4s image somehow I can see the PS4 reach about 120mil maybe more, thus outselling the 3DS+Wii U.

I made a thread about it where pretty much everyone disagreed with me :D

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=175190

It depends... of course.

On the games. Quality and output...

On how well the competitors will do...

On how the new chinese market will open up to the recently unbanned gaming devices and on what scale chinese customers are interested in them...

And of course: Due to the fact that gaming has become more and more common - with each console generation a new (additional) generation of gamers emerge - the audience is larger than ever before.  The launch of the PS4 was a success and even though 4 mio are already sold, the demand is still at a peak. So yeah, it's a realistic probability.

why is everyone speaking in bold

I am begining to believe this..

You're like John Lucas' evil twin

200 million units? 45 million more units than any console has sold in the history of ever?!

Really, the generation is too young to call on anything. There IS a twist coming from Nintendo, and I'm pretty sure Microsoft won't take being the dog too long once Balmer's ousted. In the meantime you might get the next calendar year or so right, but there's just not enough information to come to a meaningful LIFETIME sales prediction.

Zelda U might be hailed as the best game in the history of ever and make the Wii U sell 50 million units in one year. Ubisoft could push a Kinect game which actually WORKS. The PS4 could get hacked and drop ten million credit card numbers on the web. We just don't know.

I think that the PS4 might reach 120m (not very likely, but possible). But I don't think that sales of the 3DS will be down. The Wii U has sold over 5m with almost no games and pretty bad marketing, I'd say it will reach at least 40m.