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200 million units? 45 million more units than any console has sold in the history of ever?!

Really, the generation is too young to call on anything. There IS a twist coming from Nintendo, and I'm pretty sure Microsoft won't take being the dog too long once Balmer's ousted. In the meantime you might get the next calendar year or so right, but there's just not enough information to come to a meaningful LIFETIME sales prediction.

Zelda U might be hailed as the best game in the history of ever and make the Wii U sell 50 million units in one year. Ubisoft could push a Kinect game which actually WORKS. The PS4 could get hacked and drop ten million credit card numbers on the web. We just don't know.