Been thinking about what MS shipments of XB1 will be this Q.
We know it did 910k in the US for November, and that the market has seemingly been flooded with XB1's. UK did 150k first week, 20k following week(Chart track) to make a total of 170k in the UK for November. We know it did 365k for the year end as we just got an update, which is another 195k. So Dec was higher than Nov by 15%~.
If this same trend happened in the US, given they're so similar, then that works out at 1,045m in the US for Dec.
It might not though and we could see lower sales of course. Until we get the data on the 16th we only have VGC estimates (don't even have all those yet.
Still it's a good bet that UK and US combined will be 2m+ (2m meaning a 725k Dec which would be a little disappointing.) or if it reached the top end of my US estimate that's 2.3m.
UK + US: 2m - 2.3m
Australia had the best ever launch, 66k in 3 days, if we use the UK's 150k first 3 days as a rule, that could mean around 150k for Australia for the year. Again though it might have fallen short or not enough stock? Do we have an aussies here to give an assessment on that? 150k seems quite high, it's a safe bet it's over 100k for Aus tho if it did 66k in 3 days!
France we have at 105k with 2 weeks of data to come, Germany at 135k again, 2 weeks of data to come.
Rest of NA, Canada and Mexico is usually around 10% of US, so 150k - 200k combined.
Brazil is a strong country for MS, I have no idea how to estimate it though.
Austria, New Zealand, Ireland, Italy and Spain are difficult too, 50k each?
Edit - PS4 outselling XB1 3.5:1 in Spain early December, total PS4 sales at 80k, so that puts XB1 around 23k. Probably didn't do anymore than 30k for the year. That's quite low. Imagine Italy and Austria are similar, maybe 100k combined.
All rests on US to see whether it has sold through more than 3m, which could mean 3.5m+ shipments. I'm hoping for 4 but not sure how outlandish that is.
Does anyone have any other data?