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Locked: My SMG prediction is looking grim...

Forums - Sales Discussion - My SMG prediction is looking grim...

It seems I have grossly underestimated the legs of SMG, hat's off and congrats on a new hit Mario game! It will reach more than 7 million lt, perhaps closer to 10.

Anyone else wanna fess up while we're at it? 



End of 2016 hardware sales:

Wii U: 15 million. PS4: 54 million. One: 30 million. 3DS: 64.8 million. PSVita: 15.2 million.

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7 million?  That would be low for an America-only prediction. 

Where is Legend11 who categorized SMG as a failure because it didn't have 3 million first week sales in the US?

For all the people who said it would never catch Halo 3: no need to fess up now. We'll have your party in a couple of months.



All i can say is i get a kick out of all your predictions in your sig. At least you are owning up (even though you don't technically have to yet)




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"Wii: 35 m 360: 24 m PS3: 22 m DS: 83 m PSP: 38 m

Wii Fit LT sales will not surpass 7 million WW. (sue me)

SMG LT sales will not pass 7 million, neither will MP3 or SSBB. Mario Kart will top out at roughly 12 million this gen and be the best selling Wii game besides the bundled ones. "

Will be all wrong. Except maybe I'll agree with you for MP3.

"Nintendo DS will be produced is such incredible amounts that the US army will use them as artillery munitions in their invasion of Iran."

TROOF!!!




The only prediction I think you are spot on is

Resistance 2 will do Resistance FoM 1 year sales in 4 months. (If it gets a global release).

I think also your Wii Fit prediction is wrong as the sales are going in Japan it will Hit 2 million soon.



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He said Fes Up, not knock HIS predictions



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The Wii Fit prediction is just plain silly. Not quite as silly as the SSB:B prediction, though, or the 2008 sell through figures for the Wii. Who predicts that the Wii will sell 15 million units all year when Nintendo will be producing well north of 20 million assuming zero production increases?

He said Fes Up, not knock HIS predictions

I guess we're jumping the gun a bit, eh?  Don't worry, if he keeps his scruples there will be plenty of threads just like this one posted by him. 



i didn't realise those predictions in your sig were serious...



--OkeyDokey-- said:
i didn't realise those predictions in your sig were serious...

I exist to keep things on ground level. Consider me the tethers below the gaming sky...

I know I won't hit with all (or even most), it is more based on the direction I'd hope the market would take; i.e force Nintendo to come up with something truly awesome and brand spanking new rather than toss around the same franchises for 20+ years and let it scrub. The way I see it, the Wii is a rehashed GC with motion controls and far from a revolution. I guess you could say that I miss the old days, when Ultima series was rockin' the PC's and SNES was modern day fare. I'm nostalgic, and I don't like where gamign is headed (way to mainstream). I can see gaming getting corrupted and wilt and rot away like the movie and music industries, and this is my greatest fear as a gamer.

There you have it... From an old fashioned and experienced gamer.



End of 2016 hardware sales:

Wii U: 15 million. PS4: 54 million. One: 30 million. 3DS: 64.8 million. PSVita: 15.2 million.

Nope, most of us Nintendians predicted the wonderful success of SMG.