Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Current vs Last, a Console Sales Story (June 7th Data)

Final Smash: Should somone one do this at the start of every gen?

yes
no
show me the money!

This thread started out as a Wii U vs thread. With the rest of next gen approaching and the impending end of Q1 where Wii U will not meet the forecasted goal, I thought it would be prudent to upgrade the thread to full home consoles comparison for their respective first year.

I wanted to track the overall sales of the consoles. Please see my data below from rounded VGC. I will continue to update this through the end 2014.

In case anyone is curious, I am using Google Docs for this.

 

Monthly Summary

  Nov Dec Total
Wii 1,068,000 1,888,000 2,956,000
Wii U 810,000 1,446,000 2,256,000
X360 445,000 733,000 1,178,000
XOne 1,650,000 1,355,000 3,005,000
PS3 525,000 728,000 1,253,000
PS4 2,101,000 2,046,000 4,147,000

 

  Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Total
Wii 1,282,000 871,000 728,000 928,000 1,252,000 1,028,000 9,045,000
Wii U 283,000 142,000 178,000 141,000 128,000 85,000 3,213,000
X360 614,000 309,000 322,000 482,000 471,000 318,000 3,694,000
XOne 440,000 322,000 396,000 237,000 226,000 38,000 4,664,000
PS3 451,000 250,000 904,000 378,000 346,000 240,000 3,822,000
PS4 976,000 960,000 696,000 594,000 654,000 122,000 8,149,000

 

  Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
Wii 1,385,000 1,105,000 889,000 1,349,000 2,117,000 3,617,000 19,507,000
Wii U 148,000 107,000 122,000 264,000 478,000 1,047,000 5,379,000
X360 378,000 308,000 363,000 467,000 1,044,000 1,727,000 7,981,000
XOne 0 0 0 0 0 0
PS3 477,000 396,000 339,000 747,000 1,272,000 2,149,000 9,202,000
PS4 0 0 0 0 0 0

 

Weekly Raw Data by Quarter (x1,000)

Weeks Nov1 Nov2 Nov3 Nov4 Dec1 Dec2 Dec3 Dec4
Wii 0 0 530 538 589 415 598 286
Wii U 0 0 472 338 559 342 341 204
X360 0 0 351 94 337 166 134 96
XOne 0 0 1107 543 286 372 401 296
PS3 87 205 103 130 163 200 191 174
PS4 0 1052 100 949 343 480 751 472
Weeks Jan1 Jan2 Jan3 Jan4 Jan5 Feb1 Feb2 Feb3 Feb4 Mar1 Mar2 Mar3 Mar4
Wii 304 251 245 251 231 221 217 233 200 181 193 199 155
Wii U 126 49 38 34 36 37 39 36 30 29 28 55 66
X360 117 147 144 110 96 81 73 81 74 61 66 103 92
XOne 155 84 68 65 68 73 85 85 79 72 154  98  72
PS3 137 89 80 74 71 67 53 50 80 79 58 604 163
PS4 266 196 174 164 176 161 157 464 178 138 148  225  185
Weeks Apr1 Apr2 Apr3 Apr4 May1 May2 May3 May4 May5 Jun1 Jun2 Jun3 Jun4
Wii 187 208 235 298 291 244 229 240 248 249 255 246 278
Wii U 45 34 32 30 31 26 23 24 24 22 21 20 22
X360 104 130 136 112 105 98 93 90 85 81 80 78 79
XOne 67
63 56 51 48 44 41 41 52 38      
PS3 119 97 83 79 81 71 65 65 64 60 60 59 61
PS4 172 145 146 131 125 126 114 111 178 122    
Weeks Jul1 Jul2 Jul3 Jul4 Jul5 Aug1 Aug2 Aug3 Aug4 Sep1 Sep2 Sep3 Sep4
Wii 256 300 285 283 261 271 289 261 284 254 215 213 207
Wii U 23 37 31 30 27 32 29 24 22 23 24 33 42
X360 77 75 75 76 75 70 73 80 85 90 91 92 90
XOne                          
PS3 64 97 91 117 108 100 102 93 101 100 78 74 87
PS4                          
Weeks Oct1 Oct2 Oct3 Oct4 Oct5 Nov1 Nov2 Nov3 Nov4 Dec1 Dec2 Dec3 Dec4
Wii 192 239 301 321 296 283 461 673 700 729 687 1463 738
Wii U 75 46 35 31 77 62 75 107 234 189 270 349 239
X360 88 78 80 96 125 169 193 361 321 447 501 572 207
XOne                          
PS3 85 161 164 169 168 240 260 378 394 480 584 664 421
PS4                          

 

Poll History:
"Will Wii U sell 5.5m by March 31?"
POLL SNAPSHOT AT WEEK JAN2: (est was still 5.5m)
Yes = 233 (40%)
Maybe = 163 (28%)
No = 187 (32%)

"Will Wii U sell 5.5m by March 31?"
POLL SNAPSHOT AT JAN3: (just before investor's meeting)
Yes = 20 (17%)
Maybe = 25 (22%)
No = 71 (61%)

"Will they meet the revised 4m by March 31?"
POLL SNAPSHOT AT MAR2: (when obvious was obvious)
Yes = 76 (34%)
Maybe = 36 (16%)
No = 112 (50%)

NOTE: Nintendo shipped 3.45m Wii U units (March 31, 2013). Goal is 9m more for next fiscal year (March 31, 2014)

"By the end of Q2, will Wii U be..."
POLL SNAPSHOT AT APR4: (when WiiU was clearly going below PS360)
above PS360 = 36 (22%)
above PS3 below 360 = 9 (5%) (this one was funny as it was impossible LOL)
above 360 below PS3  = 21 (13%)
below PS360 = 100 (60%)

"With many games coming in May, will Wii U break 200k for month?"
POLL SNAPSHOT AT MAY5: Only about 134k sold.
Yes = 19 (22%)
No = 67 (78%)

"Will XBone @$499 beat WiiU's Launch (Nov & Dec only)"
POLL SNAPSHOT AT JUN4: (Full month post E3)
Yes = 15 (18%)
No = 58 (71%)
Statistical Tie = 1 (1%)
Depends on MS delivery = 8 (10%)

NOTE: Xbone ~3m and Wii U ~2.3m

"Will PS4 @$399 beat WiiU's Launch (Nov & Dec Only)"
POLL SNAPSHOT AT JUL5: (just end of month)

Yes = 43 (58%)
No = 15 (20%)
Statistical Tie = 5 (7%)
Depends on Sony Delivery = 11 (15%)

NOTE: PS4 ~4.2m and Wii U ~2.3m

"Can Wii U break 200k for August?"
POLL SNAPSHOT AT AUG2: (when clearly wasn't going to make it)
Yes = 12 (39%)
No = 19 (61%)

"Can Wii U break 300k for September?"
POLL SNAPSHOT AT SEP3: (when clearly wasn't going to make it)
Yes = 48 (49%)
No = 50 (51%)

"Where will Wii U hit for October?"
POLL SNAPSHOT AT OCT2: (when Wii U was at 152k for Oct)
200k = 15 (34%)
250k = 9 (26%)
300k = 6 (17%)
350k = 4 (11%)
400k+ = 1 (3%)

NOTE: Wii U sold ~290k in October. (when poll was closed, it was heavily overtracked)

"Who will sell more in November?"
POLL SNAPSHOT AT OCT 5: (before Nov starts)
Xbox One + X360 = 12 (9%)
PS4 + PS3 = 102 (76%)
Wii U + Wii = 21 (16%)

NOTE: Wii Family ~700k, Xbox Family ~2.5m, PS Family ~3.2m

"Who will have the best first 14 months?"
POLL SNAPSHOT AT JAN 9TH 2014: (PS4 was showing dominance)
Wii U = 72 (18%)
PS4 = 304 (77%)
Xbox One = 20 (5%)

"When will Xbox One beat Wii U globally?"
POLL SNAPSHOT AT MAR4: (End of March 2014)
Q1 2014 = 8 (6%)
Q2 2014 = 8 (6%)
Q3 2014 = 16 (12%)
Q4 2014 = 29 (21%)
Q1~Q2 2015 = 17 (13%)
Q3~Q4 2015 = 7 (5%)
2016 = 6 (5%)
2017+ = 2 (1%)
Never = 43 (32%)

"Will PS4 be able to beat Wii's first 14 months? (Wii = 19.5m)"
POLL SNAPSHOT AT MAY2: (just before PS4 fell below Wii)
Yes - Over 1m of Wii = 14 (25%)
Less than 1m difference = 16 (29%)
No - Under 1m of Wii = 26 (46%)



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This thread is going to be very depressing for Wii U fans. I feel that there's simply no way the U is going to hold a candle against the Wii.

wfz said:
This thread is going to be very depressing for Wii U fans. I feel that there's simply no way the U is going to hold a candle against the Wii.

It's going to be a long time until any system does. A more interesting comparison might be to the prior generation's HD systems, and of course to the upcoming consoles. Although I'm not sure those comparisons will be too much heartening!



It was funnier when we're just speculating.
Which games to be ambassador's next year?

:(

Official Hyrule Warriors Thread

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=183444&page=1

Bet With Tbone - I win if SSB for 3DS will be less than 200k first week in Japan

noname2200 said:

It's going to be a long time until any system does. A more interesting comparison might be to the prior generation's HD systems, and of course to the upcoming consoles. Although I'm not sure those comparisons will be too much heartening!


I'll add PS360. Good idea. :)



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tagging...

I'm on Twitter @DanneSandin!

Furthermore, I think VGChartz should add a "Like"-button.

wfz said:
This thread is going to be very depressing for Wii U fans. I feel that there's simply no way the U is going to hold a candle against the Wii.


The Wii/DS duo was like the NES/Gameboy back in the 80s, at least for some time...odds are that won´t happen again (anytime soon).

Honestly, I´m not sure we´ll ever see 'another Wii' or 'another PS2'...again, not anytime soon, at least.



I've got faith Nintendo can pull it off and will sell well and consistently, once people get their hands on the Wii U Gamepad. I expect however that when we see the crap sales of the more expensive PS4s and Nexboxes, the Wii U wouldn't look so bad. Remember how the 3DS sales looked bad until we saw the Vita's.

...and if things really do begin to look bad, all they gotta do is drop the price! That worked in the pass.



Nintendo Network ID: DaRevren

I love My Wii U, and the potential it brings to gaming.

superchunk said:

I wanted to track the overall sales of the two consoles. Please see my data below from rounded VGC.

 

x1,000 November December     January         February       March      
Weeks -> 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Wii 530 538 589 415 598 286 304 251 245 251 231 221 217 233 200 181 193 199 155
Wii U 470 326                                  

 

  Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Total through first FY
Wii 1068 1888 1282 871 728 5,837,000
Wii U 796 0 0 0 0 796,000
Nintendo's Wii U FY Estimated Sell Through:   5,500,000

 

Launch Wii Wii U
NA w1 w1
EU/AUS w3 w2
Japan w3 w3


I'd like to know your opinion Superchunk? I think Wii U will sell its forecact of 5.5 million Wii U's; however, I am scared of what the system will offer after launch period as it is very vague almost non excistent. I bought a Wii U, got New Super Mario Bros U, Sonic, and Call of Duty and will satisfy my needs until the end of the year. Nonetheless, I'm hearing plenty of people that want to buy a Wii U but are waiting for 'good' games, do you think that Nintendo has something under their sleeves for 2013 or are we repeating the 3ds pattern? :s



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ok updated it to include PS360. Puts it into a much clearer perspective.