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Forums - Sales Discussion - Do you think GTA 5 will sell 25 million copies in its first year out?

samuship said:
Impossible. I can see it selling 25m LT, but on the first year? Hell no. I believe that even CoD hasn't reached numbers like those on its first year.


Modern Warfare 3 did. It came out exactly 1 year ago today.
Current sales according to VGChartz:

360: 14.63m
PS3: 12.47m
Total: 27.1m

I'm not even counting the PC(retail) and Wii versions which add another ~2mil to that.

The game came out in the holidays though. I doubt GTA V could reach that on a March/April release.......I think the 25m prediction is way too optimistic.



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Conegamer said:
VGKing said:
jamesmarkus87 said:

No way. When it's released, PS3 and 360 will be closer to the end of their life cycles, and I highly doubt that it'll sell on Wii U.

Exactly where is this 25 million in one year prediction coming from? GTA IV is 4.5 years old. Even with phenomenal first week sales and great legs, it has only sold 19.95 million on PS360 to date.

It's not coming to Wii U.......

I think it's definitely possible.  It would need amazing marketing and word of mouth. Of course the game itself would need to be amazing as well. Lots of sites gave GTA IV a 10/10, how can GTA V top that?

You sure about that? It's quite possible it'll be ported to WiiU depending on sales of ports at the launch of the system; hence no announcement.

Same with PC, but obviously that's certain to come.

PC version is definitely in development. 
Wii U? Highly unlikely.

There's a good chance GTA V will be ported to PS4/720 so if that's when a possible Wii U version could come out.

I think it all depends on how Black OPs 2 sells on Wii U. If that game can't sell well, no other M-rated game can.



...noooooooooo.....?

Is Divnich just jealous of the attention Pachter gets? Is he unaware that it's laughing at, not with?



In one year? More than GTA IV? With this economy?

No way, it's not possible.

Maximum 15-16 million.



Yonyx said:
In one year? More than GTA IV? With this economy?

No way, it's not possible.

Maximum 15-16 million.


Economy situation is irrelevant. Look at the iPad and iPhone sales these past few years. 



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im with Divnich i believe 25M in 12 months is totally possible and it may be even higher look at CODs 12 month sales on just both ps360

the later your into a gen the more front loaded SW sales get ex. COD Halo Gears even uncharted these games sequels all achieved there prior LT sales at a much faster rate.

and the fact that for the past few years there really hasnt been any break out game (at least for me) its been the same thing year after year or after every 2 years GTA5 is that "it" game that gamers have been waiting years for. especially since most got there last gta fix way back in 2004, it also appeals to all audiences, its not just a FPS or TPS



                                                             

                                                                      Play Me

Nope.



To put this into a comparison, here are some of the other best sellers in their first 52 weeks. These are all estimated with the graph tool, and may be up to 500 thousand off.

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 3 - 27 million
Call of Duty: Black Ops (Ps3 + X360) - 23.8 million 
New Super Mario Bros. Wii  - 16.8 million
Wii Sports Resort - 16.3 million
Wii Fit - 15.8 million
Mario Kart Wii: 15.1 million 
Grand Theft Auto IV: 13 million

 

There are a few ways to view this.

1) Can Grand Theft Auto V sell as fast as the fastest selling Call of Duties?

2) Can each individual version of Grand Theft Auto have nearly as good a first year as Nintendo's top titles?

 3) GTA V will most likely sell 8-10 million first week. Mario Kart Wii did 1 million. Can GTA V's week 2-52, all versions combined, manage to match Mario Kart Wii?

The third one definitely sounds like it should be possible. The first way of looking at it also makes it sound possible, and I don't see why the second one should be impossible either.

I think 25 million is a perfectly reasonable prediction.



Narp, lifetime maybe, but not first year.



           

I don't know about that, but it will easily pass that in it's lifetime at least



Xbox One, PS4 and Switch (+ Many Retro Consoles)

'When the people are being beaten with a stick, they are not much happier if it is called the people's stick'- Mikhail Bakunin

Prediction: Switch will sell better than Wii U Lifetime Sales by Jan 1st 2018