The point of predictions isn't just to be bold, but to be bold and correct. The top 10 PsP games add up to 43 million. Apart from the last two Sega systems, no major console has ever seen a lower total in software sales than that.

Realitistically, NSMB2 is going to reach a bit over 20 million, and possibly pass 25 million. The Vita wouldn't just need to be a flop to sell that little, it would need to be a larger miss than even Sergio Ramos could muster.

then he missed his point as it comes across as timid and correct *yawn*

I bet that the top 3 3DS games (LTS) will outsell the top 10 PSV games (LTS)

I personally would prefer the new and exciting IP's being made by Sony than yet another re-hash Mario game by Nintendo... I mean they sell hence they keep making them but *yawn*

Lol. But still, you have gone soft.

news flash, Outside of Japan the 3ds is bombing baddly, granted not as bad as the vita though. Latest NPD numbers is 3ds = 125k.

the 6-7 year old consoles xbox360 & ps3 are kicking its butt in sales

You think it will sell 35million, mate youure dreaming, its not the ds. The handheld landscape has changed significantly, the rise of the smartphone has destroyed the handheld console market. 

the 3ds is also sold at a loss, according to nintendo thus it will be a long time before it sees a pricecut.

I think my sig is very safe :)

You're missing my point here. The chanes of NSMB 2 selling 35 million are virtually unexistant. The problem is, there are several factors that could lead to it getting close to that number late in its life, such as for instance the game being bundled.

Your other points are also a bit different from what I'd expect, and they have a completely different view of the world than I do, so it's a bit hard to comment against. You're making some quite quick assumptions, and some that are faulty/incredible overstatements. The 3DS isn't selling very poorly outside of Japan. Kowenchiki's brilliant graphs illustrate this rather well.

I'm going to hold you to that after E3 -- Sony had better have some of these "new and exciting IPs" you're talking about, because if all they show off are ports of console games and sequels to existing IPs, I will dig this thread up just to laugh in your general direction.

Also according to Nintendo, by September they'll be selling the 3DS for a profit, likely due to a reduction in manufacturing costs.

your not alone

If any one of those games happens to be a version of GTA 3:SA, a good MH or a good mascot platformer then I completely disagree. Otherwise I most certainly can't think of anything else that would garner sufficient sales to challenge NSMB 2.