Obviously Nintendo will come out first next gen, how soon? nobody knows, Nintendo can do what MS. did with the Xbox, who knows. and look how that turned out to be, they beat Sony to it, forcing them to prematurely release an unfinished PS3..Who ever comes out first has the better chance to suceed, Nintendo is unpredictable of all three companys, nobody knows what Nintendo is up too, they dont reveal anything until the last minute, A few month back lots of ppl were saying why Nintendo will make a new handheld system when DS sales are still going strong and that those 3ds stories were only rumors, what happend now? Sony is forced to counter attact with the Psp2 .
Anybody that reveals or unveil their console first, others are forced to follow no matter what, currently they are just playing the waiting game..All three companys have insiders, they all trying to predict what the next move thier competitors are going to do next.
If Nintendo want they can take the world by surprise and reveal the Wii2 on E3 2011 and have it ready by fall 2011 why not? Nintendo is a big company and gaming is what they do best, thier primary focus is gaming only unlike MS nad Sony, they can support both 3DS and Wii2 at the same time if they wanted too and that will not distract one from another,(car makers don't release one model at a time a year) firstly, they are too different system for two different customers, or they can buy both.
Nintendo will make their next Wii2 double the power compared to this current gen or slightly more why? because this gen alone lack of memory is outstanding...both the 360 and the ps3 are choking , the lack of AI and physics you see on these HD systems is what you will get for five more years.. All Nintendo has to do is make a deal with AMD or Nvidia, whoever, buy them by truck loads at a good price, get a good GPU with 1 or 2gb of dedicated memory and add an extra 4gb for system memory for multi or general purposes (OS,CPU etc) and how expensive would be by the end of 2011 early 2012 to add a QUAD or a six core Cpu? Nintendo can still sell a Wii 2 for a total package of $300 to $350... You think Sony and MS will stick around and wait if this happens? no, they will scramble to get their system out sooner than later.
-I think that the next gen is in NINTENDO's hands if the cards are played right ...
Sorry but I have to say it "next gen starts when Nintendo say so"