I was thinking that Nintendo has a very strong software lineup in the West, especially in America which is also getting Kirby, and where DKC will probably be bigger.  Wii Party will also be a hit for sure. They also have a strong line up of 3rd parties and smaller 1st party titles.

In Japan however; so far the line up seems to consist of Kirby and DKC. Kirby should do well as the series has been consistent in Japan and should probably get to around a million. I think Donkey Kong is more of a wild card in Japan but it could/should also do well. But those 2 games are not enough to give the console a strong holiday, especially compared to last year. Obviously there will not be a game to sell like NSMB Wii did last year, but I also think there are not replacements for the number of titles that sold 200k-300k+ last year.

It seems two games with a strong chance to release this year would be The Last Story, and Inazuma Eleven Wii (I'm sure I didn't spell that right). If those 2 games come out the line up would go from weak to acceptable/solid.

Maybe the Vitality Sensr game will even be releasing which could take the lineup to being very strong.

But as far as the number of games releasing it still seems very small, are there any other titles that are releasing that should do respectable numbers?

This question should be cleared up by the end of the month after the Tokyo Game Show, and Nintendo's Conference on the 29th, but I think it is interesting to speculate what their strategy will be.

I think there is a small chance that Kirby and DKC will be it, and that most of their efforts this holiday in Japan will be focused on the 3DS. What does everyone else think?

Last Story is scheduled to release in japan this year

What about that Mario 25th Anniversary Collection?  I think that will be out for Christmas 

I forgot about that when doing the orginal post. Still if it really is just a port of the first 3 games and not a remake of them, I think it will only be a small title (sales wise). If the first three games were remade then it would be a big hit. I also think I read that it was going to be a limited release.

A DQ spinoff perhaps? I dont know, i feel nintendo have something up their sleeve, i jjust dont know what that is -.-

I definitely think the big ones will be The Last Story (Nintendo), Donkey Kong Country Returns (Nintendo) and Inazuma Eleven Wii (Level-5).   Kirby's Epic Yarn (Nintendo) and Super Mario Collection (Nintendo) are both October releases iirc.

If there's more 3rd party games coming, I think they'll be sure bet sellers like Momotaru Denetsu 2011 (Hudson) or Taiko no Tatsujin Wii 3 (Namco).  I also wouldn't rule out another DQ spinoff (Torneko 4, Itadaki Street Wii, etc) but it may also be too soon after Monster Battle Road Victory.  I still think we'll see a DQVII remake next year though, maybe in the spring even,

It's pretty simple, really. The Last Story, DKCR and Kirby are all it really needs. There's al the evergreen titles, such as Resort, Wii Party etc., and you can bet a new announcement at TGS (new Monster Hunter? It's been a year and a half since Tri..)

Let's face it, all they need is either a price cut, or, more reasonably, the release date for DQX to be confirmed. That alone should be enough for the Japanese to go mad over.