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Forums - Sales Discussion - Wii Sales: 2010 vs. 2009 AND 2008 (in the spirit of Crazzyman and trestres)

Sephiroth357 said:
Sales will go down even further this year.

I don't expect them to go up.

IF you don't care about sales of Nintendo products - LEAVE this thread.-Agree. I really like the DS.
IF you are Wii hater - LEAVE this thread.-Agree. I don't hate or love the Wii.
IF you DON'T believe in Wii success - LEAVE this thread.-What???


really?
http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?post=3015917&page=3&postnum=4



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killeryoshis said:
Sephiroth357 said:
Sales will go down even further this year.

I don't expect them to go up.

IF you don't care about sales of Nintendo products - LEAVE this thread.-Agree. I really like the DS.
IF you are Wii hater - LEAVE this thread.-Agree. I don't hate or love the Wii.
IF you DON'T believe in Wii success - LEAVE this thread.-What???


really?
http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?post=3015917&page=3&postnum=4

Thank you.




You've even gotten the excessive smiley faces down... nice touch.

Though, I don't think they're quite excessive-y enough!



Ahhh, these smileys don't fit Khuutra at all!

Anyway, compared to 2009 I'm expecting a flat Q1, up Q2 and up Q3. Q4 will be down though, it was way too high (~11.7mil?).



It does look like it'll be quite soon that Wii is down YoY again on a weekly basis. Japan is keeping Wii up while the West is pulling it down.

Our only hope for Q1 being strong I think is an unexpected one... Just Dance. If the excitement over Just Dance transfers into excitement for the Wii itself, maybe Q1 won't be too bad. Zangeki no REGINLEIV might help in Japan too.

Q2 will be an easier comparison with 2009, but for it to be really strong one of the potentials will have to really break out, Red Steel 2 or Monster Hunter or one of the Nintendo games if any are out by then, none of which are very likely though.



A game I'm developing with some friends:

www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm

It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.

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I'm not quite sure what made Q1 so strong last year. Anybody have any theories?



Wii = mountain of cash PS3 = hill of beans



Things that need to die in 2016: Defeatist attitudes of Nintendo fans

I think 2010 will fall either just short of or just above 2008.



Khuutra said:
I'm not quite sure what made Q1 so strong last year. Anybody have any theories?

Supply finally caught up with pent-up demand, which was still high post-holidays. Look at the crazy Americas sales in February!

Right after this happened, around March, sales kind of plummeted. Most of us are assuming that doesn't happen this year, as current sales reflect demand. Hopefully that's how things turn out...



Khuutra said:
I'm not quite sure what made Q1 so strong last year. Anybody have any theories?

Lag.

Excitement was already dying for the Wii in late 08, we just didn't notice it as the sales were still up YoY. If we were looking at the margin they were up compared to early 08, it would be plain to see. Evergreen titles cause changes in overall sales to lag behind the actual releases (when they release, it takes time for them to influence sales overall). The lack of hit Christmas 08 titles caused the decline to begin in Q1 09. We only notice it getting really bad in Q2 09, but it was happening in Q1 as you can see in this chart that I bring up way too often:

 



A game I'm developing with some friends:

www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm

It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.