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Forums - Microsoft Discussion - Halo: Reach to be biggest game of 2010 “across all platforms"

steverhcp02 said:
c0rd said:

The biggest game of 2010 in America, for sure.

However, worldwide it will not be the top seller worldwide. It'll have a hell of a time competing with NSMB Wii, Wii Fit+, Wii Sports Resort, and Pokemon HG/SS. There's also a chance Nintendo pulls another 10miller out of its ass. WF+ and NSMB Wii anyone?

If we're only talking about home console games that release in the year 2010, currently its only competition is GT5 and CoD7, which Halo has a good shot at.

I think it makes little sense how people use ODST sales as a barometer for Reach's success. We may as well assume GT5 will sell poorly due to GT5:Prologue.

possibly the worst analogy ive read in a while. It has the word prologue in the name and its lacking features...last i saw ODST didnt only let you shoot 3 different guns at 3 different enemy types.

Seriously, if it was never leaked that they wanted to do ODST as an expansion but MSFT said no all this bullshit excuse for lack of sales wouldnt exist.

Everyone who knows jack shit right now about Reach being the "main" title in the halo universe isnt part of that 6 million difference in sales between halo 3 and ODST. The fact the devs are preaching to the choir about it being a main game isnt going to resonate with the demo that will make Reach come close to Halo 3.

 

I don't have ODST, but I have Halo 3. I'm going to get Reach, because it's the next (and possibly the last good) Halo installment.

I'm assuming you don't know anything about Halo 3 ODST? It is essentially Halo 3 with a new campaign.

The multiplayer is exactly the same. The game comes with a second disc for the online, which is Halo 3's multiplayer, and it's even linked to the exact same achievements. Yes, linked to Halo 3's achievements. There's like, one new multiplayer mode similar to Horde mode from Gears 2, I think. That's pretty much it.

You're telling me a game that's called "Halo 3: ODST," which doesn't even have its own multiplayer, should sell like a new Halo game? We wouldn't be able to tell it was originally an expansion? Is that why people were complaining about its full price tag?

Is my analogy still the worst you've read in a while? Or did you simply not know much about the game you're arguing about?



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Gamerace said:

Well, it'll outsell Metroid: Other M and Alan Wake I'll give it that.

Outsell GT5, FFXIII, GoW3, CoD 6, SMG2 and Zelda Wii 2?   Possible but very unlikely to outsell GT5.

Outsell Wii Vitality game?  I'd bet against it.   That'll likely be another 20m seller.   Of course, no one knows a damn thing about it yet.

At any rate, it's hyperbole from MS, of course they'll claim the world and it will be marketed like the second coming of Chr, Master Chief.

"like the second coming of Chr, Master Chief." i lolled at that sooooooooo much xD the dajjal is here!! :P



The millions of Halo 3 fans who made Halo 3 the most played game on live last year will migrate to Reach. The beta will heighten the fever.



How exactly is Halo getting over milked? A RTS and an expansion of Halo 3 were released in 2009, several months apart. How will that negatively affect Reach's sales? You have no point, just baseless assumptions.



c0rd said:
steverhcp02 said:
c0rd said:

The biggest game of 2010 in America, for sure.

However, worldwide it will not be the top seller worldwide. It'll have a hell of a time competing with NSMB Wii, Wii Fit+, Wii Sports Resort, and Pokemon HG/SS. There's also a chance Nintendo pulls another 10miller out of its ass. WF+ and NSMB Wii anyone?

If we're only talking about home console games that release in the year 2010, currently its only competition is GT5 and CoD7, which Halo has a good shot at.

I think it makes little sense how people use ODST sales as a barometer for Reach's success. We may as well assume GT5 will sell poorly due to GT5:Prologue.

possibly the worst analogy ive read in a while. It has the word prologue in the name and its lacking features...last i saw ODST didnt only let you shoot 3 different guns at 3 different enemy types.

Seriously, if it was never leaked that they wanted to do ODST as an expansion but MSFT said no all this bullshit excuse for lack of sales wouldnt exist.

Everyone who knows jack shit right now about Reach being the "main" title in the halo universe isnt part of that 6 million difference in sales between halo 3 and ODST. The fact the devs are preaching to the choir about it being a main game isnt going to resonate with the demo that will make Reach come close to Halo 3.

 

I don't have ODST, but I have Halo 3. I'm going to get Reach, because it's the next (and possibly the last good) Halo installment.

I'm assuming you don't know anything about Halo 3 ODST? It is essentially Halo 3 with a new campaign.

The multiplayer is exactly the same. The game comes with a second disc for the online, which is Halo 3's multiplayer, and it's even linked to the exact same achievements. Yes, linked to Halo 3's achievements. There's like, one new multiplayer mode similar to Horde mode from Gears 2, I think. That's pretty much it.

You're telling me a game that's called "Halo 3: ODST," which doesn't even have its own multiplayer, should sell like a new Halo game? We wouldn't be able to tell it was originally an expansion? Is that why people were complaining about its full price tag?

Is my analogy still the worst you've read in a while? Or did you simply not know much about the game you're arguing about?

Once again, makes no sense. (my bolding of it being the same with a different campaign)

I am well aware ODST is linked to Halo 3 online youre basically assuming that all the people who wanted or bought ODST are people who didnt own Halo 3?

Youre saying Reach will sell to 8 million unique users only interested in a new multiplayer aspect in the halo universe?

I'm confused what youre argueing here as your main theory why Reach will be able to generate what will end up being 8 million unique buyers above ODST. Im assuming based on you rposts you feel Reach's "new" online coding will spur these sales.

Reach is a new different experience in the halo universe, just like ODST was. It's not a sewual or continuation of the main halo franchise, my argument is that we would see more sales for continuation of a franchise whereas youre argueing we will see an increase from Halo 3 simply form the standpoint it offers a new online server or coding interface.

I can safely say i dont believe that. If you look at the sales from Halo 1 to Halo 2 and then Halo 2 to Halo 3 there are increases, youre saying its due to users needing to buy them to play with the new online community whereas  im saying youre seeing that for 2 reasons. Sure people want the new online but MOST of those increased sales is from expanding on the mainplot of the halo universe.

You will not see an influx of new users simply due to a new online community, as big as halo's is. The devs can keep saying this is the true sequal, but in the minds of the genral consumer, the minds of what made the halo series huge it is simply a different halo experience.

I guess we will know eventually, but for ODST, a unique halo experience outrside of masterchief, Reach will probably trend between halo 3 and ODST because youll get the people who bought ODST who want to experience a new portion of the universe as well as people from the group you mention that want the new online community, and that later group will surely not be anywhere near 8 million people needing to take it above what will eventually be Halo 3's LT numbers.

 



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sorry but man im sick of halo, part 1 and 2 was the best but when 3,odst, and war came out it was crap no offence to you halo fans it was so hype up i just got bored of it



owner of ps3,xbox360,pc,mac,wii,ds,psp

03 honda cbr600rr

98 db8 integra sir-g

 



 

 

Definitely gonna be awesome! cant wait



Long Live SHIO!

steverhcp02 said:

Once again, makes no sense. (my bolding of it being the same with a different campaign)

I am well aware ODST is linked to Halo 3 online youre basically assuming that all the people who wanted or bought ODST are people who didnt own Halo 3?

Youre saying Reach will sell to 8 million unique users only interested in a new multiplayer aspect in the halo universe?

I'm confused what youre argueing here as your main theory why Reach will be able to generate what will end up being 8 million unique buyers above ODST. Im assuming based on you rposts you feel Reach's "new" online coding will spur these sales.

Reach is a new different experience in the halo universe, just like ODST was. It's not a sewual or continuation of the main halo franchise, my argument is that we would see more sales for continuation of a franchise whereas youre argueing we will see an increase from Halo 3 simply form the standpoint it offers a new online server or coding interface.

I can safely say i dont believe that. If you look at the sales from Halo 1 to Halo 2 and then Halo 2 to Halo 3 there are increases, youre saying its due to users needing to buy them to play with the new online community whereas  im saying youre seeing that for 2 reasons. Sure people want the new online but MOST of those increased sales is from expanding on the mainplot of the halo universe.

You will not see an influx of new users simply due to a new online community, as big as halo's is. The devs can keep saying this is the true sequal, but in the minds of the genral consumer, the minds of what made the halo series huge it is simply a different halo experience.

I guess we will know eventually, but for ODST, a unique halo experience outrside of masterchief, Reach will probably trend between halo 3 and ODST because youll get the people who bought ODST who want to experience a new portion of the universe as well as people from the group you mention that want the new online community, and that later group will surely not be anywhere near 8 million people needing to take it above what will eventually be Halo 3's LT numbers.

No, I don't think all the people who wanted or bought ODST are people who didn't own Halo 3. I'm sure it's a mix of people who never bought Halo 3, and people who are huge fans of Halo. I already had Halo 3, and I have it for the multiplayer, so there was no need for me to purchase it.

Reach does not need to sell to 8 million unique users only interested in a new multiplayer aspect. It can be a mix of the two - the fact is, ODST was not a good value to those who already owned Halo 3, because it was essentially a full priced expansion.

Was Modern Warfare 2 a continuation of the plot of Modern Warfare 1? I have the game but I don't even know, because I don't give a shit about single player. Still, do you think that if Modern Warfare 2 consisted of a new campaign, spec ops mode, and the exact same multiplayer as Modern Warfare 1, it would have sold well? At full price?

I guarantee you it wouldn't have. The main reason so many damn people bought Modern Warfare 2 is because they wanted the new multiplayer experience. They'd get their friends to buy the game to play it with them. And their friends. And that's why there were over 8 million users playing MW2 online within the first month week, when there were only about 7.9 million PS360 copies sold then (VGC numbers, PC for the rest). I don't see why Halo would be any different.

I'm not saying Halo Reach is going to sell more than Halo 3 (I don't think any HD game will, MW2 is the only contender), but I do think it will sell like an actual Halo sequel (10+ million lifetime). I'm not even a big Halo fan, so I'm not defending this like I have some sort of stake in it. If Modern Warfare had split screen online, I probably wouldn't have even bothered with Halo 3.



Gamerace said:
JaggedSac said:
Gamerace said:
JaggedSac said:
Gamerace said:
Cheat1011 said:
Gamerace, do you honestly believe ZELDA will outsell a Halo game? GoW won't make past the 5 million mark.


Well Twilight Princess sold about 6m (between GC & Wii) which is still better than Halo ODST at about 4.5m but no where close to Halo 3 at 10m.   Reach is the 4th Halo game this gen and Halo is suffering from being over-milked.   Reach will likely fall somewhere between the sales of ODST and 3.

So if Nintendo makes a Zelda TP2 then it's reasonable sales might be close  (Wii's base is substancially larger now than at launch) but I'd give Reach the edge.

However if Nintendo makes Zelda's more accessible and taps into it's expanded market (girls in particular) it could easily shoot into double digit millions and go places yet another Halo FPS simply cannot.

The Top 20 LIVE Games of 2009
 

After a few days of number crunching, here are the most popular games on the LIVE Service for 2009 based on connectivity.


Xbox 360 Top Live Titles
(based on UU’s)

1    Halo 3
2    Call of Duty 4
3    Modern Warfare 2
4    Call of Duty: WaW
5    Gears of War 2
6    GTA IV (Purchase and download the full game)
7    Left 4 Dead
8    Halo 3: ODST
9    FABLE II Episode 1 (of 5)
10   バイオハザード5」デモ (BioHazard 5 -  Resident Evil 5)
11   Halo Wars - Demo
12   RESIDENT EVIL 5   
13   Fallout 3
14   UFC 2009 Undisputed Demo
15   Left 4 Dead 2 - Demo
16   Gears of War
17   1 vs 100
18   Guitar Hero World Tour 
19   Guitar Hero III

20   FIFA 09

 

 

It still has it.


What's your point?   That doesn't dispute what I said in any way.

You stated that Halo is suffering from being over milked.  A franchise that is suffering does not come out on top over newer games.  Especially newer games that are supposedly more popular now.

That only proves people who own the game still like to play it.   Doesn't mean they'll feel the need to get another version of Halo.  

Conversely, Zelda owners who have totally finished the game will need to buy a new version to get more play time with Zelda but Halo 3 owners can continue to just enjoy the online without ever buying Reach.  Heck the only version of Halo I own is the original on PC and I'm still content with that.


So you really think that anybody still playing Halo 3 multiplayer on a semiregular basis isn't going to get Halo: Reach? Somehow I don't see the logic here.



themanwithnoname's law: As an America's sales or NPD thread grows longer, the probabilty of the comment "America = World" [sarcasticly] being made approaches 1.

I dunno, I'm with Mummelman on this one. I think Starcraft II will be the game to beat.