How much is your crystal ball worth?

Hello Michael Practer!!! Anyways, Do you have a ps3??? I think not!

I do have a PS3 and its the only this gen console I have. And I love it.

I will be loling for years.

A 19$ Arcade + 24$ Elite could do that !

this is like a scientific prediction of what will happen in the future and its scary.

but that won't neve happen if they did that MS will be bankrupt.

Well, I don't really like the whole 'win' thing, but I'd have to say no going by the only main criteria for 'winning' the generation is selling the most consoles - Nintendo looks sure to wrap that up so at best MS has a chance at second.

In the end though, 360 lack of appeal outside US/UK seems sure to hold it back in the end, the Wii is selling really well everywhere, the 360 is only selling really well in US and to a lesser extent UK, and I see nothing (Natal included) likely to change that enough vs Wii this gen.

Heres where I think you go wrong (IMO)

First of all you mention Halo Reach and Halo 4 as different games, when really Reach IS Halo 4. Microsoft (or Nintendo or Sony for that matter) are never going to lower the console price too drastically, so no $30 Arcade. By 2015 theres is probably going to be the next console generation so no sales of 300 million, which was never going to happen anyway.

No it will get 2nd place though.