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Forums - Sales - Do you predict a tight race between 360 and PS3 next year?

For all of you that are saying that the 360 will outsell the PS3 when natal comes out must be out of your mind. There is no way the 360 will outsell the ps3. I'll tell all of you whats going to happen. When Natal launches its going to be the same as when the PS3 launch. I say the PS3 launch because when it launch the PS3 controller had no rumble and people want feedback when they play games. Natal has no controller so how can people get the feedback. Mircosoft say that you do not need a controller anymore when natal comes out (which I think is bull) just like sony when they say rumble is last gen (which I aslo thought was a bull excuse). I gurantee you that Mircosoft is going to come out with a controller for natal when it doesn't work out, but it would be to late because sony would have already surpass mirosoft and be closing in on nintendo.



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xbox 360's last hope I think is NATAL and some few surprises.



wat does every1 think the HDs will sell all of 2010 WW? is the better question

i c

PS3 14-16m
360 9-11m

so if the gap is down to around 5mill b4 the year starts by my projections it should very close end of next year to having no gap at all or around 1-2mill gap



                                                             

                                                                      Play Me

Wow, to get through all that 14 pages was really tough. In my opinion sony has everything set to roll in 2010. Games and movies in 3d, wand combied with a really good sword game is a system mover for me, great games that sony ps2 loyalist awaited long time like gt5 god of war 3 final fantasy XIII - the big 3 and last but not least future additional psn content. All of that combined will increase even more the ps3's momentum and im judging that by the end of next year the gap between two consoles will shrink drasticly.



God of war predictions: 
1 day over 1m

ltd over 7m

PS3 overtakes xbox 360 by the end of 2011 fiscal year (march 2011)

Natal beeing not a big hit. Wand beeing less succesful then natal.

Ps3 ll have greater weekly sales then wii in june.

ps3 ll have  greater weekly sales then wii throughout q3.

Xbox 360 ll recive a price cut in 2011 fiscal year.

Gran turismo 5 ll outsell halo 3 odst in first day sales and ltd, also it ll outsell halo 3 in ltd. 

Uncharted 2 ll get pass 5 m mark in 2011 fiscal year.

iWarMachine said:
thx1139 said:
jdelanoy said:
In my opinion, the biggest thing that Sony has going for them at this point is, they still have a serious price drop available as an option, without the confusion of having to decide how to price two or three different versions proportionately.

Dropping the PS3 to $249 or $199 would dramatically increase sales. For Microsoft to duplicate this, they would probably have to drop the arcade to at least $150, which would probably be awkward, as it would likely undercut sales of the other versions. OTOH, they could just discontinue the arcade and drop the price of the standard model to $199, so I don't know how much of an effect it would have. Still, from what I have seen, a price drop of the same dollar amount generally favors the more expensive console.


U R not going to see Sony dropping price for a good long time.  Sony has to get the PS3 business profitable sooner rather than later or the whole generation will be a loss for Sony.  You will see the PS3 at $199 when the 360 Arcade is $99 and Elite with Natal at $199.

i will not be so sure of it. i can see sony lowering the price to 249.

Do you think that Sony can go this whole generation with the PS3 in the red?  They have already said that currently it doesnt look like the PS3 will be profitable until 2011.



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.

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the people that say the ps3 wont be $199 for a long time are clueless. cant you remember everyone was saying the ps3 was never going to get cut to $299 this year? most people were saying $50 price cut at the most. things change fast, anything can happen, so dont rule anything out.



thx1139 said:
iWarMachine said:
thx1139 said:
jdelanoy said:
In my opinion, the biggest thing that Sony has going for them at this point is, they still have a serious price drop available as an option, without the confusion of having to decide how to price two or three different versions proportionately.

Dropping the PS3 to $249 or $199 would dramatically increase sales. For Microsoft to duplicate this, they would probably have to drop the arcade to at least $150, which would probably be awkward, as it would likely undercut sales of the other versions. OTOH, they could just discontinue the arcade and drop the price of the standard model to $199, so I don't know how much of an effect it would have. Still, from what I have seen, a price drop of the same dollar amount generally favors the more expensive console.


U R not going to see Sony dropping price for a good long time.  Sony has to get the PS3 business profitable sooner rather than later or the whole generation will be a loss for Sony.  You will see the PS3 at $199 when the 360 Arcade is $99 and Elite with Natal at $199.

i will not be so sure of it. i can see sony lowering the price to 249.

Do you think that Sony can go this whole generation with the PS3 in the red?  They have already said that currently it doesnt look like the PS3 will be profitable until 2011.

well you better show us a link to that, i dont recall sony saying such things.



Here you go

http://ps3.ign.com/articles/104/1040692p1.html

Now also remember Sony has proclaimed before that they think the PS3 will be profitable in 2007 then 2008 then 2009, etc. Funny thing is the market has always made Sony drop the PS3 earlier than Sony wanted to. Typically selling your console for a loss during its 4th holiday season isnt a good business model. Particularly when your console was expected to dominate the generation.



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.

no, ps3 will win



but in the otber hand nobody expected slim's massive glory